29 \u015eubat 2020 Cumartesi Saat 06:41<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan ve AKP iktidar\u0131n\u0131n K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 temelinde i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasette y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc politikalar ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131rken, bu d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131kta \u0131srar ederse b\u0131rakal\u0131m hayal etti\u011fi neo-Osmanl\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakim k\u0131lmas\u0131, bu hedef temelinde hareket eden bir T\u00fcrkiye var olan nispi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dahi yitirecektir.\u00a0 \u0130hvanc\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ve \u00c7eteleri Suriye\u2019de istediklerini alamad\u0131lar. Alamad\u0131klar\u0131 gibi bu g\u00fcne kadar s\u0131rt\u0131n\u0131 Rusya ve ABD\u2019ye veren Erdo\u011fan ve \u00e7eteleri Rusya taraf\u0131ndan \u0130dlib\u2019de derin bir kuyuya \u00e7ekildi. \u0130dlib tansiyonu gittik\u00e7e y\u00fckselirken, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n da tansiyonu y\u00fckseliyor ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar h\u0131z kazan\u0131yor. Son g\u00fcnlerde \u0130dlib\u2019de TSK\u2019ya ait bir tugay\u0131n vurulmas\u0131yla birlikte TC tarihinin belki de en b\u00fcy\u00fck asker \u00f6l\u00fcmleri ya\u015fand\u0131. Asker cenazelerini s\u00fcrekli gizlemesiyle \u00fcn kazanm\u0131\u015f TC ve fa\u015fis Erdo\u011fan, \u201cbirka\u00e7 tane \u015fehidimiz var dese de, Per\u015fembe ak\u015fam\u0131 Rus sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n TSK noktalar\u0131n\u0131 vurmas\u0131yla birlikte bir\u00e7ok kaynak taraf\u0131ndan 100\u2019\u00fc a\u015fk\u0131n asker cenazesi oldu\u011fu bildiriliyor.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u0130dlib\u2019de Yeni Rota Aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 Sonu\u00e7suz Kal\u0131yor<\/p>\n
Suriye ve Rusya\u00a0\u0130dlib\u2018i ad\u0131m ad\u0131m geri al\u0131yor. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u00e7eteleri ise \u015fa\u015fk\u0131n ve yeni rota bulma aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda. \u00c7eteler yeni rota aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndayken, Suriye-Rusya ve T\u00fcrk devleti aras\u0131nda gerginlik gittik\u00e7e t\u0131rman\u0131yor. Suriye ve Rusya da \u0130dlib hedefine ula\u015fma a\u015famas\u0131ndayken, T\u00fcrk devleti ve ihvanc\u0131 \u00e7eteleri ise b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u015fok ya\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc AKP-MHP iktidar\u0131 s\u0131rt\u0131n\u0131 Rusya ve ABD\u2019ye dayam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. TC ve\u00a0 \u015f\u00f6venist Erdo\u011fan s\u0131rt\u0131n\u0131n yere gelmeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu. Ama s\u0131rtlar\u0131 yere de\u011fil \u0130dlib\u2019in derin kusuyunda \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131 kalacak desek yerinde olur.<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan ve \u00e7eteleri \u0130dlib\u2019i babalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7iftli\u011fi zannettikleri bir anda Rusya ve ABD anla\u015farak T\u00fcrk devletini \u0130dlib hayalinden uyand\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. \u015euan da T\u00fcrk devleti o hayalinin pe\u015finde ko\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorsa da nafile. Erdo\u011fan Putin\u2019e k\u0131z\u0131p y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc NATO ve ABD\u2019d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. ABD ve NATO\u2019ya s\u0131\u011f\u0131nan TC ve \u00e7eteba\u015f\u0131 Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 ise Rusya\u2019yla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yaparak zaman kazanma pe\u015finde. 21 \u015eubat\u2019ta Erdo\u011fan-Putin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede Soci Mutabakat\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda farkl\u0131 bir sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131. Bu da Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n eli bo\u015f d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. istedi\u011fi sonu\u00e7u elde edemeyen TC ve \u00e7eteleri ise saklanacak delik ar\u0131yor. Rusya ve \u015eam ise sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na aral\u0131ks\u0131z devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
TC\u2019nin \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclen bir ka\u00e7 tane askeri<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n destekledi\u011fi \u015eam rejimi ise geri ad\u0131m atmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yaparken, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n kendi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131 i\u00e7in sava\u015fa yallad\u0131\u011f\u0131 askerlerin cenazeleri ise sesiz sedas\u0131z baba evlerine g\u00f6nderiliyor. Asker \u00f6l\u00fcmlerini s\u00fcrekli gizleyen Erdo\u011fan, \u201cBir ka\u00e7 tane \u015fehidimiz var.\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ise \u0130dlib kuyusunda bo\u011fulmakta olan TC ve \u0130ktidar\u0131n, askerleri sadece \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmeleri i\u00e7in g\u00f6nderildiklerini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc iktidar i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00e7ok asker \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc o kadar \u00e7ok propo\u011fanda ve ayakta kalmak demektir. Erdo\u011fan, \u201c\u015eehitler Tepesi bo\u015f kalmayacak\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 Rus sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 TC askerlerini bombard\u0131ma tuttu, y\u00fczlerce \u00f6l\u00fc ve yaral\u0131 asker oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenmekte.<\/p>\n
Rusya ve T\u00fcrk devletinin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri sonu\u00e7 vermezken, \u00a0Erdo\u011fan, 5 Mart'ta \u0130dlib konusunu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin, Fransa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Emmanuel Macron ve Almanya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Angela Merkel ile bulu\u015facaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamayla Erdo\u011fan ba\u015fars\u0131z ge\u00e7en g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc kapatarak, zaman kazanma pe\u015finde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu zaman kazanma manevralar\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak \u0130dlib\u2019te kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ekonomik ve siyasi krizin \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6rtece\u011fini,yada s\u0131yr\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zanneden Erdo\u011fan, asl\u0131nda dipsiz bir kuyunun i\u00e7inde debelenmekted\u0131r. Erdo\u011fan \u0130dlib kuyusunda debelenirken, ABD ve NATO\u2019ya elini uzatarak kurtulmaya beklemekted\u0131r. ABD ve NATO ise Erdo\u011fan ve TC\u2019nin debelenmesi yani \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 f\u0131rsata \u00e7evirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin TC\u2019yi kullanma f\u0131rsatlar\u0131<\/p>\n
Nas\u0131l m\u0131? Tabiki de ABD, TC\u2019nin arkas\u0131nda oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yaparak, T\u00fcrk devleti ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n aras\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla a\u00e7maya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Ama Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131 kuyudan \u00e7\u0131kartamayacakt\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD\u2019nin i\u015fine geliyor. Ne kadar \u00e7ok Rusya-TC \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, ABD i\u00e7in o kadar TC ve AKP-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131n\u0131 kullanma f\u0131rsat\u0131 demekt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
ABD ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda kordineli bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019den yap\u0131lan bir a\u00e7\u0131klama \u015f\u00f6yle; Beyaz Saray Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Robert O'Brien, \u0130dlib\u2019te Esad rejimi ile birlikte Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da T\u00fcrk askeri ile T\u00fcrk devleti ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan unsurlar sald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u00a0O'Brien,\u00a0"K\u00fcresel bir polis olarak oraya para\u015f\u00fctle inip sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 durdurmam\u0131z m\u0131 bekleniyor"yorumu ise son noktay\u0131 koydu asl\u0131nda. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan ile Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkinin ini\u015fli-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu savunan O'Brien,\u00a0"Suriye'deki sivil katliamlar\u0131n\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini y\u00fcksek sesle s\u00f6ylemeye devam edece\u011fiz, fakat \u0130dlib'e askeri olarak m\u00fcdahale edece\u011fimizi sanm\u0131yorum."\u00a0ifadesini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Asl\u0131nda bu a\u00e7\u0131klama ABD\u2019nin Rusya ve Rejime dolayl\u0131 bir destekt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Umutsuz \u00c7\u0131rp\u0131n\u0131\u015flar<\/p>\n
ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Mike Pompeo, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye ile neler yapabilece\u011fimizi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in beraber \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz\u201d dedi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama bile TC ve Erdo\u011fan \u00e7etelerinin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00e7\u0131kamaz\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi nitelendirmekted\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama bir yandan TC\u2019ye destek bir yandan da TC\u2019yi \u0130dlib kuyusunda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rarak istedi\u011fini elde etme a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u015feklinde niteleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin destek a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 devam ederken, bir yandan da fa\u015fist Erdo\u011fan, "\u015eu anda en b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131m\u0131z hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 kullanam\u0131yor olu\u015fumuzdur. \u0130n\u015fallah yak\u0131nda buna da bir hal \u00e7aresi bulaca\u011f\u0131z" diye konu\u015ftu. Erdo\u011fan bu a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bile caresiz i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u201chal \u00e7are bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131z\u201d demesi bile ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131n i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu ve caresiz halde \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Erdo\u011fan ve \u00e7eteleri \u0130dlib\u2019te \u00e7aresiz \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131n\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Rusya Suriye\u2019de Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131 Kullanarak \u0130stediklerini Ald\u0131<\/p>\n
Bir yandan ABD bir yandan Rusya ve T\u00fcrk devletinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 devam ederken, \u015eam rejimi ejim g\u00fc\u00e7leri ise M-5 ve M-4 karayollar\u0131n\u0131n kesi\u015fti\u011fi kritik Serakib il\u00e7esini ele ge\u00e7irerek h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde T\u00fcrk \u00e7etelerinin elinde bulunan alanlar\u0131 geri ald\u0131. \u0130dlib\u2019te tansiyon gittik\u00e7e y\u00fckseliyor. \u0130dlib\u2019teki tansiyon tabiki \u015f\u00f6venist Erdo\u011fan ve \u00e7etelerinin de tansiyonunu y\u00fckseltiyor. Bu tansiyon y\u00fckseli\u015fleri devam ederken, Rusya ve \u015eam ise kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130dlib\u2019de TSK\u2019ya yap\u0131lan hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonucu asker \u00f6l\u00fcmleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, T\u00fcrkiye ile Rusya\u2019y\u0131 Suriye\u2019de do\u011frudan bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n e\u015fi\u011fine getirdi. \u015eimdilik Rusya ve T\u00fcrkiye m\u00fczakereleri farkl\u0131 seviyelerde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor, ancak Rusya\u2019n\u0131n "ter\u00f6ristlere taviz verilmeyecek\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden TC\u2019nin istedi\u011fi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Rusya S-400\u2019leri TC\u2019ye satt\u0131. Rusya ve TC aras\u0131nda yeni ticari anla\u015fmalar yap\u0131ld\u0131. Bu anla\u015fmalar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Rusya, TC\u2019yi kullanarak Suriye\u2019deki alan hakimiyetini ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc artt\u0131rd\u0131. Ki bunlar Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri istedi\u011fi \u015feylerdi. Yani Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n evindeki hesap \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131ya uymad\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Peki ABD Burada Ne Yapacak?<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin plan\u0131 asl\u0131nda ortada Rusya ile yap\u0131lan anla\u015fma do\u011frultusunda ilerleyecek denilse de ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n liderlerini kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na almaktan uzun zamand\u0131r \u00e7ekiniyordu, ancak \u0130dlib\u2019deki hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda taraf\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7mek zorunda kalabilir. ABD a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda her ne kadar T\u00fcrk devletinin yan\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylese de bu pratikte olmad\u0131. Bir di\u011feri ise ABD T\u00fcrk devletinin g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc boyamak i\u00e7in bir ka\u00e7 manevra yapabilir. Uluslararas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lara ra\u011fmen Trump \u0130dlib\u2019deki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara m\u00fcdahil olmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131. Ancak d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri yetkilileri Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle Suriye\u2019de i\u015fleri\u00a0kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f belirtti.<\/p>\n
Yine ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Mike Pompeo, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u0130dlib\u2019e insani yard\u0131m gitmesini engellemekle su\u00e7lad\u0131 ve (Suriye) Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Be\u015far Esad\u2019\u0131n Moskova ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n deste\u011fiyle yeni bir kanl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Ancak ne Rusya ne de ABD i\u015fgalci TC\u2019yi Suriye topraklar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 istemeyecektir.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Elinde Sadece 80 bin \u00c7ihat\u00e7\u0131 \u00c7ete Kalacak <\/p>\n
ABD yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla her ne kadar TC\u2019nin yan\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stersede, yak\u0131n bir d\u00f6nemde i\u015fgalci TC ve \u00e7etelerini girdikleri Suriye b\u00f6lgelerinden yava\u015f yava\u015f \u00e7ekece\u011fi ihtimali ise y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. E\u011fer TC ve \u00e7eteleri bu b\u00f6lgelerden \u00e7ekilirse, Afrin dahil b\u00fct\u00fcn alanlar\u0131 bo\u015faltmak zorunda kalacak. K\u00fcrtler\u2019de daha \u00f6nceki b\u00f6lgelerine d\u00f6necek. PYD ile \u015eam aras\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir anla\u015fma yap\u0131l\u0131rsa burada TC ve diktat\u00f6r Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131nSuriye ve K\u00fcrt politikas\u0131n\u0131n tamamen \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterecektir. Suriye politikas\u0131nda \u0130dlib\u2019in karanl\u0131k kuyusunda cebelle\u015fen Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n elinde ise sadece maa\u015f \u00f6dedi\u011fi DA\u0130\u015e, \u00d6SO, El Kaide, Heyet Tahrir El \u015eam (HT\u015e) ve 80 bin \u00e7ihat\u00e7\u0131 \u00e7ete mensubu kalacak. Bir de bir ka\u00e7tane askeri ise \u015eehitler Tepesini bo\u015f b\u0131rakmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Sara GULAN<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan ve AKP iktidar\u0131n\u0131n K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 temelinde i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasette y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc politikalar ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131rken, bu d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131kta \u0131srar ederse b\u0131rakal\u0131m hayal etti\u011fi neo-Osmanl\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakim k\u0131lmas\u0131, bu hedef temelinde hareket eden bir T\u00fcrkiye var olan nispi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dahi yitirecektir. <\/p>\n
Sara GULAN<\/p>\n
K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi
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\nwww.lekolin.info -www.navendalekolin.com -http:\/\/kursam.org\/index.html-
\nhttp:\/\/kursam.net\/index.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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