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Irak genel se\u00e7imlerine say\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcnler kala, Federal
\nK\u00fcrdistan\u2019da se\u00e7imlere girecek listeler aras\u0131nda rekabet iyice artt\u0131. Se\u00e7im
\n\u00f6ncesinde tansiyonun her ge\u00e7en biraz daha y\u00fckseldi\u011fi G\u00fcney K\u00fcrdistan\u2019da
\nNo\u015firvan Mustafa \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki Goran Listesi yine s\u00fcrpriz yapacak gibi
\ng\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n
2009 se\u00e7imlerinde de\u011fi\u015fim slogan\u0131yla r\u00fc\u015fvet, yolsuzluk ve
\nranta son diyerek \u00f6zellikle YNK\u2019nin kalesi durumundaki S\u00fcleymaniye\u2019de
\nbeklenmedik bir ba\u015far\u0131 sa\u011flayan Goran Listesi, \u015fimdi de Irak se\u00e7imlerinde ayn\u0131
\nba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flamak istiyor.<\/p>\n
Her ne kadar de\u011fi\u015fim slogan\u0131yla sahneye \u00e7\u0131ksa da,Goran Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin Irak\u2019a m\u00fcdahalesinden Ya\u015fanan bu durumlardan sonra halk farkl\u0131 alternatifler Mevcut durumda kurulu sisteme en iyi alternatif P\u00c7DK\u2019dir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Kerk\u00fck, Musul, Diyala, Xanekin, \u015eengal vb b\u00f6lgelerde Stat\u00fcs\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 olan bu b\u00f6lgede ya\u015fayan K\u00fcrtlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck Belirtilen nedenlerden \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc Kerk\u00fck, Musul, Diyala, Xanekin Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imlerde YNK\u2019yi S\u00fcleymaniye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fck hezimete Dahas\u0131 Goran Listesinin ilk defa Duhok ve Zaxo gibi yerlerde Goran\u2019\u0131n bu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 elbette ki YNK\u2019yi ciddi d\u00fczeyde rahats\u0131z YNK ve Goran aras\u0131nda var olan gerginli\u011fin daha nerelere Mevcut gerginli\u011fin nedeni, YNK\u2019nin taban\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli oranda G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, Goran yava\u015f yava\u015f YNK\u2019nin saltanat\u0131na son \u015eahan Dicle<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n K\u00fcrdistan www.lekolin.org \u00a0<\/p>\n \t<\/p>\n
\nlistesi\u00a0 <\/span>ge\u00e7en bir y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde Federal
\nK\u00fcrdistan b\u00f6lgesinde halk\u0131n beklentilerine b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda cevap olamad\u0131. Halkta
\nhayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratsa da, KDP ve YNK\u2019ye duyulan tepki, Goran\u2019\u0131n eksikliklerinin
\n\u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na engel oldu. Mevcut durumda KDP ve YNK\u2019nin izledi\u011fi yanl\u0131\u015f
\npolitika, demokrasiyi i\u015fletmemeleri, kad\u0131n\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fcz b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131, i\u015fsizlik,
\ngelir adaletsizli\u011fi, \u00e7evre tahribat\u0131 gibi toplumsal etkenler, halk\u0131 alternatif
\npartilere y\u00f6neltti. <\/p>\n
\nsonra, KDP ve YNK\u2019nin rakipsiz olmas\u0131, zaman i\u00e7erisinde bu iki partiyi halktan
\nsoyutlad\u0131. Muhalefetin olmamas\u0131, iki partinin kendilerini rakipsiz g\u00f6rmesi, her
\niki partiyi halktan soyutlayan en \u00f6nemli etkenler olarak \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
\nArd\u0131ndan iki parti yetkilileri aras\u0131nda alenen b\u00fcy\u00fck yolsuzluklar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi,
\nhalk\u0131 iyice sorgulamaya sevk etti. <\/p>\n
\n\u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Halk\u0131n tepkilerini ve nabz\u0131n\u0131 iyi \u00f6l\u00e7en No\u015firvan
\nMustafa bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda yeni bir yap\u0131lanmaya gitti.<\/p>\n
\nFederal K\u00fcrdistan\u2019daki her \u00e7evre bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc dile getiriyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki
\nse\u00e7imlere P\u00c7DK\u2019nin Hiva Listesi\u2019ne se\u00e7im yasa\u011f\u0131 getirilmesinin en \u00f6nemli nedeni
\nbuydu. P\u00c7DK ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u015fokla tekrar kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi kayg\u0131s\u0131 ve K\u00fcrtlerin
\nBa\u011fdat\u2019ta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in oylar\u0131n b\u00f6l\u00fcnmemesi gerekti\u011fi
\nd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesiyle Irak genel se\u00e7imlerine kat\u0131lmama karar\u0131 almas\u0131, en fazla Goran
\nListesi\u2019ne yarayacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\nFederal K\u00fcrdistan h\u00fck\u00fcmetine halk\u0131n ciddi d\u00fczeyde tepkisi mevcut. Bu yerlerin
\nstat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 olmas\u0131, yerel h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bu b\u00f6lgelere ili\u015fkin izledi\u011fi
\nyanl\u0131\u015f politika sonucunda oylar\u0131n KDP ve YNK\u2019nin K\u00fcrdistan Listesine
\nverilmesini engelleyen en \u00f6nemli etkenlerdir. <\/p>\n
\n\u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kendileri i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck umut olarak P\u00c7DK\u2019yi g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar. Ancak
\nP\u00c7DK\u2019nin se\u00e7imlere kat\u0131lmama karar\u0131 almas\u0131, buradaki oylar\u0131n Goran\u2019da
\ntoplanaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi hakim. Hat\u0131rlatmak gerekir ki, Goran YNK\u2019nin de\u011fi\u015fim
\nisteyen kanad\u0131n\u0131 temsil ediyor. Yani zihniyet ve anlay\u0131\u015f olarak YNK\u2019den pek bir
\nfark\u0131 yok, tek fark\u0131 g\u00f6rece daha \u015feffaf bir y\u00f6netim bi\u00e7imini istemesidir. Buna
\nra\u011fmen halk aras\u0131nda sempati toplamas\u0131, halk\u0131n d\u00fcr\u00fcst ve samimi yetkililere
\nduydu\u011fu ihtiyac\u0131n ne denli \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. <\/p>\n
\nve \u015eengal\u2019de Goran Listesi blok oy alaca\u011fa benziyor. <\/p>\n
\nu\u011fratan Goran Listesi\u2019nin bu ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck cesaret alan halk, bu
\nse\u00e7imlerde Hewler\u2019de de ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde yakla\u015fabilir. Ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imlerde Goran\u2019a oy
\nveren halk\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na olumsuz bir durumun gelmedi\u011fini g\u00f6ren Hewler, Diyana
\nb\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015fayanlar bu se\u00e7imde kayg\u0131ya girmeden Goran\u2019a y\u00f6nelebilir. <\/p>\n
\nse\u00e7im \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ba\u015flamas\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00fcrpriz yapabilece\u011fi alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131
\ng\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Y\u00fczlerce ara\u00e7la konvoy halinde Behdinan b\u00f6lgesinde se\u00e7im
\n\u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcten Goran, buralardan da \u00f6nemli oy oran\u0131na ula\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n
\nediyor. Nitekim YNK\u2019nin Goran rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 17 \u015eubat ak\u015fam\u0131 u\u00e7 d\u00fczeyde ortaya
\n\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Goran\u2019\u0131n mitingine silahl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 yapacak kadar ileri giden YNK\u2019nin
\nizledi\u011fi bu politika \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde daha farkl\u0131 gerginli\u011fe yol a\u00e7aca\u011fa
\nbenziyor. Kendilerini YNK\u2019nin anti ter\u00f6r timi olarak tan\u0131tan silahl\u0131 ki\u015filerin
\na\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 ate\u015f sonucunda en az 5 ki\u015finin yaralanmas\u0131 durumun vahametini g\u00f6stermeye
\nyetiyor. <\/p>\n
\nuzanabilece\u011finin yo\u011funca tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde, ipin ucunun ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131
\ngerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi her \u00e7evreye hakim.<\/p>\n
\nkaybedecek kayg\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015famas\u0131d\u0131r. E\u011fer bu se\u00e7imde beklendi\u011fi gibi Goran yeni bir
\ns\u00fcrpriz yaparsa, KDP ile YNK ittifak\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck yara alabilir, hatta bozulabilir.
\n\u0130ttifak\u0131n bozulmas\u0131 YNK\u2019nin marjinalle\u015fmesi, hatta tasfiyesiyle
\nsonu\u00e7lanabilecek bir s\u00fcreci do\u011furmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazla\u015fabilir. <\/p>\n
\nverme stratejisini basit ama ak\u0131ll\u0131 ad\u0131mlarla hayata ge\u00e7iriyor. \u00d6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc
\nstratejiyi sonuca g\u00f6t\u00fcrmeyi ba\u015farabilirse, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde YNK\u2019nin yerine
\nKDP ittifak\u0131nda Goran\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6rmek s\u00fcrpriz olmaz.<\/p>\n
\nStratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/span><\/p>\n
\n– www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info<\/span><\/p>\n