Yakla\u015f\u0131k bir y\u0131ld\u0131r siyasal, ekonomik ve toplumsal a\u00e7\u0131dan t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ciddi oranda olumsuz etkileyen coronavirus salg\u0131n\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclkelerde y\u00f6netim sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirmi\u015f ve ya\u015fanan halk ayaklanmalar\u0131, \u015fiddet olaylar\u0131, darbe giri\u015fimleri, istifalar k\u00fcresel sermaye g\u00fc\u00e7leri i\u00e7in yeni alanlara y\u00f6nelme ve birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 n\u00fcfuz elde etme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131na f\u0131rsatlar do\u011furmaktad\u0131r. Ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere Rusya, \u00c7in gibi kapitalist sistem \u00f6nc\u00fcleri, yeniden \u015fekillendirilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan \u2018d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni\u2019nden kazan\u00e7l\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle Ortado\u011fu alan\u0131ndaki ticar\u00ee, diplomatik ve istihbar\u00ee faaliyetlerine a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermekte ve b\u00f6lge devletleriyle hem taktiksel hem de stratejik temellerde yeni ittifaklar geli\u015ftirme \u00e7abas\u0131ndad\u0131rlar. Bu noktada ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 \u00e7eli\u015fkiler ve t\u0131rmand\u0131r\u0131lan \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 boyutunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u0130ran, T\u00fcrkiye gibi devletlerin de b\u00f6lgesel hegemon g\u00fc\u00e7 olma istemleri ve bu do\u011frultudaki hamleleri, giderilmesi beklenen ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi \u00e7ok zor olan siyas\u00ee, asker\u00ee, ekonomik ve diplomatik krizlere yeni k\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcmler eklemektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00fcttefiklerinin de deste\u011fiyle ABD\u2019nin uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ambargodan kaynakl\u0131 ekonomik bunal\u0131m ya\u015fayan ve \u0130srail konusunda Arap \u00fclkeleriyle b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar ya\u015fayan \u0130ran devleti, deyim yerindeyse tam bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yolu aramaktad\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in Suriye ve daha \u00e7ok Irak alan\u0131nda milis yap\u0131lanmalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek sava\u015f\u0131 bu alanlarda tutmaya ve burada ABD ve Koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerine vuraca\u011f\u0131 darbelerle kendisine kar\u015f\u0131 geli\u015ftirilen sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 zay\u0131flatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakta; alaca\u011f\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7larla Irak politikas\u0131 \u00fczerinde etkili olmak istemektedir. Ancak, Irak\u2019taki siyasal denge tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, mezhep \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, K\u00fcrt meselesi, d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerle ili\u015fkiler gibi etmenler \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu amac\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne setler \u00e7ekmekte ve alanda ya\u015fanan kaotik durumun daha da derinle\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00fcm bu \u00e7eli\u015fki ve girift geli\u015fmeleri kurnazca ve sinsi bir \u015fekilde kullanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan T\u00fcrk devleti, M\u0130T yoluyla Kerkuk ve \u00e7evresindeki T\u00fcrkmenler \u00fczerinden \u00f6rg\u00fctlenerek ve Hewl\u00ear odakl\u0131 K\u00fcrt i\u015fbirlik\u00e7ili\u011fni de kullanarak etkili olmay\u0131 ve Yeni Osmanl\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k hayalleriyle g\u00fcndemle\u015ftirdi\u011fi Misak-\u0131 Milli s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 dahilindeki Ba\u015f\u00fbr K\u00fcrdistan\u0131\u2019n\u0131 i\u015fgal etmeyi hedeflemektedir. Son d\u00f6nemlerde Kifr\u00ee, Xaneq\u00een, Qere\u00e7ox, Koy\u00ea gibi alanlarda artan DAI\u015e hareketlili\u011fini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek uluslararas\u0131 tepkilerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc almaya ve en \u00f6nemlisi de PKK\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda Irak sahas\u0131ndaki asker\u00ee varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fgalci konumunu me\u015frula\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Libya, Karaba\u011f, Do\u011fu Akdeniz alanlar\u0131nda gerilim ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Fransa, BAE ve Suudi Arabistan \u00fclkelerinden tepkiler alsa da, merkez\u00ee Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ve Ba\u015f\u00fbr y\u00f6netimiyle ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131 bahanesiyle lojistik, istihbar\u00ee ve asker\u00ee g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015f; \u015eengal, Mexm\u00fbr ve Medya Savunma Alanlar\u0131\u2019m\u0131za d\u00f6n\u00fck imha ve tasfiye operasyonlar\u0131na zemin olu\u015fturup b\u00fcy\u00fck haz\u0131rl\u0131klara ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ABD y\u00f6netiminin el de\u011fi\u015ftirmesiyle bu \u00fclke ile olan ili\u015fkilerinin nereye evrilece\u011fi konusunda endi\u015feler ta\u015f\u0131yan ve \u015fimdiye kadar Rojava\u2019da mutlak amac\u0131na ula\u015famayan TC devleti, d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve hesapla\u015fma ortam\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f Irak\u2019\u0131n bu zay\u0131f konumundan yararlanmay\u0131 ve KDP\u2019nin kendisine sundu\u011fu bar\u0131nma, lojistik, istihbarat ve asker\u00ee imkanlar\u0131 sonuna kadar kullanarak Irak sahas\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm m\u00fccadele alanlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 tasfiyeye u\u011frat\u0131p Kandil\u2019i \u00e7embere almay\u0131 ve Hareketimize teslimiyeti dayatmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. Xakurk\u00ea sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131yla start\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi bu i\u015fgal plan\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Pen\u00e7e 1-2-3, Pen\u00e7e Kartal ve Pen\u00e7e Kaplan operasyonlar\u0131nda \u2018\u2019b\u00f6l-zay\u0131flat-denetle\u2019\u2019 takti\u011fini kullanarak alanlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 birbirinden koparmaya ve denetime ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlar\u0131 imha etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. AB \u00fclkelerine de kar\u015f\u0131 elinde bir koz olarak bulundurdu\u011fu m\u00fcltecilerden olu\u015fturdu\u011fu \u00e7ete gruplar\u0131n\u0131, KDP\/Parast\u0131n denetiminde M\u0130T\u2019in \u00f6zel e\u011fitti\u011fi Roj p\u00ea\u015fmergelerini, parayla sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 korucular\u0131 ve saflar\u0131m\u0131zdan ka\u00e7an unsurlar\u0131 bu i\u015fgal operasyonlar\u0131nda kulland\u0131klar\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En son 10.02.2021 tarihinde Gar\u00ea alan\u0131na ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu asker\u00ee operasyonla sava\u015f durumunu farkl\u0131 bir boyuta ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bir yandan, Hareketimiz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik bir konuma sahip olan Gar\u00ea alan\u0131n\u0131 tutup bundan sonra Musul \u00fczeri \u015eengal alan\u0131na y\u00f6nelerek Ba\u015f\u00fbr ile Rojava hatt\u0131n\u0131 kesme; di\u011fer yandan, Gar\u00ea i\u015fgaliyle Irak devletine kar\u015f\u0131 Musul\u2019u kontrol etme amac\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fctmektedir. Hem i\u015fgal sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n G\u00fcney taraf\u0131ndan ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131, hem de Mesrur Barzani\u2019nin bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 me\u015fru g\u00f6stermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 da T\u00fcrk devletinin KDP ile birlikte hareket etti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stermektedir. Mensur Barzani\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00f6zel Gulan g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin de bu operasyonda yer almalar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimal dahilindedir. Zaten, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n bir \u015fova d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u2018\u2019bir gece ans\u0131z\u0131n gelebilirim\u2019\u2019 s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn arkas\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 tutumsuzlu\u011fun ve Barzaniler\u2019in bu i\u015fbirlik\u00e7i duru\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n verdi\u011fi cesaret bulunmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, TC devletinin a\u011f\u0131r ekonomik bunal\u0131mlar ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi, i\u00e7te ve d\u0131\u015fta siyas\u00ee bir t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131k ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131, yine toplumun hi\u00e7bir talebine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k veremeyecek bir duruma geldi\u011fi ve AKP-MHP fa\u015fizminin par\u00e7alanman\u0131n, y\u0131k\u0131lman\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde oldu\u011fu herkes\u00e7e bilinmektedir. En az\u0131ndan 2023 se\u00e7imlerine kadar \u00f6mr\u00fcn\u00fc uzatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan fa\u015fist Erdo\u011fan diktat\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, uzaya uydu g\u00f6nderme, demokratik reform paketlerini haz\u0131rlama, yeni anayasa olu\u015fturma safsatalar\u0131yla g\u00fcndem sapt\u0131rmalar\u0131na gitmekte ve HDP\u2019yi kapatmakla tehdit ederek muhalefete ve demokratik-sosyalist g\u00fc\u00e7lere de g\u00f6zda\u011f\u0131 vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, \u00fclkesini parsel parsel satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 destekle, teknik\u00ee imkanlarla ve hain, i\u015fbirlik\u00e7i K\u00fcrt tabakas\u0131n\u0131n yard\u0131m\u0131yla ayakta kalabilmeye, nefes alabilmeye \u00e7abalamaktad\u0131r. Efr\u00een\u2019den Libya\u2019ya, Azerbaycan\u2019a, oradan \u0130dlib\u2019e, tekrar Efr\u00een\u2019e g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcp getirdi\u011fi \u00e7ete gruplar\u0131n\u0131 da art\u0131k idare edemez ve nas\u0131l de\u011ferlendirece\u011fini bilemez bir duruma d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Cumhuriyet tarihinin en zor d\u00f6nemini ya\u015fayan T\u00fcrk devletine kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadeleyi y\u00fckseltmek ve imha sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 bertaraf etmek i\u00e7in gerilla direni\u015fi kadar, diplomatik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermek \u00f6nemli olmakla birlikte, toplumsal alanda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen faaliyetler ba\u011flam\u0131nda halk\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7, geli\u015fmeler ve d\u00fc\u015fman ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi hakk\u0131nda bilin\u00e7lendirip \u00f6rg\u00fctlemek, halk aras\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulacak \u00f6z-savunma g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle alandaki d\u00fc\u015fman ve i\u015fbirlik\u00e7i hedeflere y\u00f6nelik \u00f6l\u00fcmc\u00fcl darbeler vurmak Gar\u00ea operasyonunun kendi sonunun bir ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131na \u00e7evirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Yine, Avrupa ve Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n baz\u0131 kentlerinde oldu\u011fu gibi Ba\u015f\u00fbr\u2019da da halk\u0131n alanlara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 ve sald\u0131r\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 tutum sahibi olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak, b\u00fcy\u00fck gerilla direni\u015fine destek vermek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda gelmektedir. Hangi zeminde ve ne bi\u00e7imde pozisyon alaca\u011f\u0131 kestirilemeyen YNK, Tevgera Goran gibi olu\u015fumlara kar\u015f\u0131 duyarl\u0131 olmak ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te Harekete kar\u015f\u0131 geli\u015ftirilen sald\u0131r\u0131larda yer almalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rebilmek i\u00e7in ili\u015fkilenmelerde tedbirli davranmak gerekir. Ayr\u0131ca, hem Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ve hem de YNK ile olan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmlerde T\u00fcrk devletinin Gar\u00ea alan\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi operasyonun PKK\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131 olarak g\u00f6sterilse de, esasta t\u00fcm Ba\u015f\u00fbr b\u00f6lgesini i\u015fgal etmeyi ve K\u00fcrt soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndemine ald\u0131\u011f\u0131; yakla\u015fan Lozan Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131nda Musul ve Kerk\u00fck\u2019\u00fc tekrardan Irak\u2019tan geri al\u0131p kendi topraklar\u0131na katmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131labilir. \u00d6zellikle YNK\u2019ye, kendisinin de sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n hedefinde oldu\u011fu ve ancak olu\u015fturulacak ulusal birlikle kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n korunabilece\u011fi; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla T\u00fcrk devletinin Ba\u015f\u00fbr alan\u0131na y\u00f6nelik i\u015fgal sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 tutum g\u00f6stermesi gerekti\u011fi belirtilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ari TUFAN<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yakla\u015f\u0131k bir y\u0131ld\u0131r siyasal, ekonomik ve toplumsal a\u00e7\u0131dan t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ciddi oranda olumsuz etkileyen coronavirus salg\u0131n\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclkelerde y\u00f6netim sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirmi\u015f ve ya\u015fanan halk ayaklanmalar\u0131, \u015fiddet olaylar\u0131, darbe giri\u015fimleri, istifalar k\u00fcresel sermaye g\u00fc\u00e7leri i\u00e7in yeni alanlara y\u00f6nelme ve birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 n\u00fcfuz elde etme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131na f\u0131rsatlar do\u011furmaktad\u0131r. Ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere Rusya, \u00c7in gibi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":135,"featured_media":12507,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override":[{"single_blog_custom":"","sidebar":"","second_sidebar":"","share_position":"","share_float_style":"","post_date_format":"","post_date_format_custom":"","post_reading_time_wpm":"","zoom_button_out_step":"1","zoom_button_in_step":"1","number_popup_post":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"","single_post_gallery_size":""}],"trending_post_position":"","trending_post_label":"","sponsored_post_label":"","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":""},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":""},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/135"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12506"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12506\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12508,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12506\/revisions\/12508"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12507"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}