{"id":13196,"date":"2021-10-20T10:28:27","date_gmt":"2021-10-20T08:28:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/?p=13196"},"modified":"2021-10-20T10:28:29","modified_gmt":"2021-10-20T08:28:29","slug":"operasyonun-kodu-damarlarin-kesilmesi-analiz-dosya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/operasyonun-kodu-damarlarin-kesilmesi-analiz-dosya\/","title":{"rendered":"Operasyonun Kodu; \u201cDamarlar\u0131n Kesilmesi\u201d  ANAL\u0130Z -DOSYA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Son zamanlarda TC soyk\u0131r\u0131m ve i\u015fgal sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 Rojava\u2019ya kapsaml\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6neltece\u011fine dair ciddi emareler g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Bu i\u015faretleri ele almadan \u00f6nce AKP-MHP iktidar\u0131n\u0131n her zaman f\u0131rsat buldu\u011funda K\u00fcrde dair kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n oldu\u011fu her yere ama \u00f6zellikle de onun fa\u015fist soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ideolojisinin anti tezinin ya\u015fam buldu\u011fu Rojava\u2019ya sald\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmeliyiz. Bu sadece genel bir do\u011fru de\u011fil s\u00fcrekli tekrar tekrar kan\u0131tlanan bir ger\u00e7ekliktir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc zaten bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 bir s\u00fcre bile durdurmu\u015f de\u011fildir sadece geni\u015f \u00e7apta i\u015fgal operasyonlar\u0131na K\u00fcrt halk\u0131n\u0131n direni\u015fi ve uluslararas\u0131 dengeler nedeniyle ara vermi\u015ftir. Yoksa Efrin\u2019i i\u015fgal operasyonuna ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrk devletinin uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin garant\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki antla\u015fmalara uydu\u011fu ve sald\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir an bile yoktur. Geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan i\u015faretleri T\u00fcrk fa\u015fizminin bu K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 niteliklerini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne alarak tahlil etmemiz gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrk Devleti \u00e7etelerle gah Gaziantep\u2019te gah Cerablus\u2019ta toplant\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcne toplant\u0131 yapmakta ve onlar\u0131 tek bir bayrak alt\u0131nda birle\u015ftirerek yeniden organize etmekte ve onlar i\u00e7inde yeni ortak operasyon odalar\u0131 kurmakta, Arap halk\u0131n\u0131 \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netime kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmakta, d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lere tavizler vermektedir. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi BAAS ile K\u00fcrt kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 istihbarat g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcrk Genelkurmay\u0131 bu sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na bir de ad bulmu\u015ftur. Yani T\u00fcrk Devleti neredeyse t\u00fcm haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 bitirmi\u015ftir. Rusya ve ABD\u2019nin ise kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda bu sald\u0131r\u0131ya izin verebilece\u011fini unutmamal\u0131y\u0131z. Son zamanlarda \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim ile yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin i\u015fgale verdikleri onay\u0131 gizleme \u00e7abas\u0131 olarak da ele alabiliriz. Bu temelde T\u00fcrk fa\u015fizminin i\u015fgal operasyonun \u015fifrelerine bakabiliriz.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0130\u015fgal Operasyonun Provas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrk ordusunun gerek S\u0130HA\u2019larla gerekse top at\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile bu y\u0131l\u0131n A\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131ndan itibaren Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6neltti\u011fi sald\u0131rlar farkl\u0131 bir yo\u011funluk kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. TC Afganistan\u2019da ya\u015fananlar nedeniyle d\u00fcnya g\u00fcndeminin bu \u00fclkeye odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak ele alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle Tiltemir cephesinde y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011fu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 bu temelde geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya da \u00f6n a\u015famas\u0131 olarak ele almak yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r. Kald\u0131 ki bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin sessiz kalmas\u0131 onun da \u00f6tesinde hem Rusya\u2019n\u0131n hem de ABD\u2019nin hava sahas\u0131na a\u00e7arak desteklemesi bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerin daha \u00f6nce yapt\u0131klar\u0131 gibi TC ile Rojava \u00fczerinden ars\u0131zca pazarl\u0131k yapabileceklerinin ni\u015fanesidir. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan Tiltemir sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 kapsaml\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar i\u00e7in hem provad\u0131r hem de nab\u0131z yoklamad\u0131r. Uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin sessizli\u011fi icazetin verildi\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Operasyonun Altyap\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6ncellikle son g\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrk ordusunun i\u015fgal edilmi\u015f Ser\u00eakaniy\u00ea\u2019nin \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 boyunca \u00f6zellikle Dirb\u00easiy\u00ea ve Amud\u00ea\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fen b\u00f6lgelerde ciddi bir askeri y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 farkl\u0131 farkl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok \u00e7evre belirtiyor. Tank ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u00e7ok say\u0131da z\u0131rhl\u0131 arac\u0131n bu noktalarda konumland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Bunun yan\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok askeri birli\u011fin getirildi\u011fi b\u00f6lgede var olan k\u00f6ylerde bo\u015falt\u0131l\u0131yor. Hatta T\u00fcrk devleti bu b\u00f6lgedeki k\u00f6yl\u00fclere tar\u0131m yapamad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in do\u011fan zararlar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 taahh\u00fct etti\u011fi ifade ediliyor. S\u0131n\u0131r hatlar\u0131 boyunca hem vuru\u015f ve ke\u015fif hem de sadece ke\u015fif g\u00f6zetleme kapasitesi olan \u0130HA ve S\u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131n durmaks\u0131z\u0131n havada tutulmas\u0131 da \u00f6nemli bir ipucudur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu askeri y\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u011f\u0131 sadece bir tehdit manevras\u0131 olarak ele almak fazla iyimserlik olacakt\u0131r.&nbsp;&nbsp; Fakat bu bir sava\u015f yan\u0131ltmacas\u0131 olabilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelecek sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yap\u0131lan b\u00f6lgenin aksine Derik b\u00f6lgesinde ba\u015flama ihtimali de var. K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n Rojava ve Ba\u015fur par\u00e7alar\u0131n\u0131 birbirinden ay\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefleyecek bu sald\u0131r\u0131ya T\u00fcrk fa\u015fizminin soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 niteli\u011fini tam olarak yans\u0131tan \u201cDamarlar\u0131n Kesilmesi\u201d ad\u0131n\u0131n verildi\u011fi ve operasyon haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n son h\u0131zla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de b\u00f6lgeden gelen bilgiler aras\u0131nda. KDP\u2019nin Medya Savunma Alanlar\u0131nda gerillaya y\u00f6nelik geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi ku\u015fatman\u0131n da ayn\u0131 amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7mamal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu ku\u015fatma her \u015feyden \u00f6nce olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 durumunda HPG\u2019nin Rojava Devrimine yard\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da engellemek i\u00e7indir. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda Ba\u015fur\u00ea K\u00fcrdistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik de olacakt\u0131r. O b\u00f6lgeden T\u00fcrk Devletinin Musul ve Kerk\u00fck\u2019e s\u0131zmak istedi\u011fi ve yine burada Irak ile Habur\u2019a alternatif bir kap\u0131 a\u00e7may\u0131 hedefledi\u011fi biliniyor. Irak devletinin bu plan\u0131n neresinde oldu\u011funu kendisi a\u00e7\u0131klamal\u0131d\u0131r. G\u00f6stergeler en az\u0131ndan haberdar oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yak\u0131n zamanda bu konuyla ilgili dikkat \u00e7ekici haberler bas\u0131na yans\u0131d\u0131. Suriye Milli Ordusu b\u00fcnyesinde olan \u00e7etelerden be\u015fi \u201cSuriye Kurtulu\u015f Cephesi\u201d ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda &nbsp;birle\u015ftiler. M\u0130T\u2019in bu \u00e7eteleri birle\u015ftirmeye u\u011fra\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzun zamand\u0131r ifade ediliyordu. Bu \u00e7etelerin \u201cSuriye Milli Ordusu\u201d ad\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman\u0131 hat\u0131rlamak bu konuda bize ciddi bir ipucu sunar. Fa\u015fist TC Ser\u00eakaniy\u00ea ve Gir\u00easpi\u2019ye y\u00f6nelmeden hemen \u00f6nce 2019 yaz\u0131nda bu \u00e7eteleri tek bir ordu olarak birle\u015ftirdi\u011fini duyurmu\u015f ve bu \u00e7eteleri sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda \u00f6ne s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu \u00e7etelerin birle\u015fti\u011fini ve askeri e\u011fitimlerini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran ve bunu geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 askeri bir operasyona haz\u0131rl\u0131k olarak yorumlayan \u015earkul Avsat\u2019ta yer alan bir haberde kendine Suriye Kurtulu\u015f Cephesi s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc s\u0131fat\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131\u015ft\u0131ran \u00e7etenin \u015fu s\u00f6zlerine yer veriliyor: \u201c<em>Tabii ki SMO PKK\u2019ya ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fct ve gruplara kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyonlar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in uygun zaman\u0131 bekliyor&#8230; Bu ittifak PKK\u2019y\u0131 ve uzant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 Suriye\u2019deki b\u00f6lgelerden temizlemeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yor. Suriye topraklar\u0131 i\u00e7indeki PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131 askeri operasyonlar\u0131n bir \u00f6n a\u015famas\u0131 olarak sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara girmek i\u00e7in e\u011fitilmeye devam ederken, SMO \u00e7e\u015fitli bile\u015fenleriyle birlikte \u015fu anda askeri ve sava\u015f haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor&#8230; Bu birle\u015fme, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerine kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyonlar\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilan edilir edilmez, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctleriyle m\u00fccadelede s\u00fcng\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015f\u0131 olacak<\/em>\u201d&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alacaklar\u0131 para ve ganimet d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir ilke tan\u0131mayan bu paral\u0131 birliklerin ortak bir \u00e7at\u0131 alt\u0131nda d\u00fczenli olarak hareket edebilmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir ancak bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in beraber hareket edebilirler. Ve bunu en iyi T\u00fcrk devleti bilir fakat ayn\u0131 zamanda geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131 esnas\u0131nda bile olsa bu gruplar\u0131n beraber hareket edebilmesi askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemlidir. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bu yeni durum g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemesi gereken bir geli\u015fmedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu temelde yap\u0131lan haz\u0131rl\u0131klardan biri de Kuzey Do\u011fu Suriye\u2019de ya\u015fayan a\u015firetleri \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netime kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmak ve ona kar\u015f\u0131 silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakt\u0131r. Bu temelde T\u00fcrk devleti 19 A\u011fustos\u2019ta Gaziantep\u2019te bir toplant\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor. Onunla i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7erisinde olan ve Cerablus merkezli bir a\u015firet meclisine yeni bir askeri operasyona ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu hareket ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda a\u015firetlerinde \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimi Minbi\u00e7\u2019ten Rakka\u2019ya kadar suikast ve sabotaj sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ile arkadan vurmak i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara ba\u015flamalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fi perspektifi veriliyor. B\u00f6lgeden gelen bu bilgi olduk\u00e7a ciddi bir haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Psikolojik Hareket<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son bir ayd\u0131r fa\u015fizmin tek tiple\u015ftirilmi\u015f bas\u0131n yay\u0131n organlar\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli Rojava\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme getirilmesi psikolojik hareket temelinde ele al\u0131nmal\u0131d\u0131r. TV programlar\u0131nda Rojava\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bekas\u0131 i\u00e7in ne denli b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit oldu\u011funu s\u00f6zde uzmanlarca tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 alg\u0131 yaratmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. CNN T\u00fcrk\u2019ten A Haber\u2019e kadar t\u00fcm kanallar\u0131n birden ayn\u0131 g\u00fcndemli tart\u0131\u015fma programlar yapmas\u0131n\u0131 tesad\u00fcf olarak g\u00f6rmek y\u00fczeysellik olacakt\u0131r. Bu televizyon kanallar\u0131n\u0131n M\u0130T perspektifi ile hareket etti\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011finin \u00f6tesinde kat\u0131lan ki\u015filer do\u011frudan \u00f6zel sava\u015f kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n elemanlar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AKP-MHP fa\u015fizmi psikolojik hareketi sadece medya organlar\u0131 eliyle y\u00fcr\u00fctmez. Do\u011frudan fa\u015fist iktidar\u0131n y\u00f6neticileri de \u00e7o\u011fu zaman bu \u015fekilde hareket eder. Gerek Efrin i\u015fgal sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 gerekse 2019 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi fa\u015fist \u015fef Erdo\u011fan bu temelde bir kampanya y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00d6rne\u011fin BM k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcnde Rojava\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal ve ilhak etmek istedi\u011fini haritayla g\u00f6stermesi bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131. Son g\u00fcnlerde fa\u015fizmin bir ba\u015fka \u00f6nemli simas\u0131 Hulusi Akar ayn\u0131 role soyunmu\u015ftur. \u0130dlib\u2019te cihadistlerin sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 iki askerin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131ra birlikleri tefti\u015f etmeye giden Akar olayla ilgisi olmamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n Rojava g\u00fc\u00e7lerini a\u00e7\u0131ktan tehdit etmi\u015ftir. Fa\u015fizmin kendi K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 alakas\u0131z bir olayda bir topluma a\u015f\u0131lamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diplomatik \u00c7abalar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kapitalist merkezlere g\u00f6bekten ba\u011fl\u0131 TC bir sald\u0131r\u0131ya ba\u015flamadan hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7leri ikna etmesi ve bunun i\u00e7in tavizler vermesi zorunludur. Bu temelde son zamanlar TC\u2019nin Rojava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in hem Rusya\u2019y\u0131 hem de ABD\u2019yi ikna etmek i\u00e7in \u00e7abalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 fark edilebilir. Bunun i\u00e7in her tavizi verebilece\u011fini bilmek gerekir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc TC\u2019nin K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131r yoktur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6ncellikle ABD\u2019den kendi i\u015fgal politikalar\u0131 i\u00e7in azami destek bulmaya u\u011fra\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Son zamanlarda gittik\u00e7e fa\u015fist rejim i\u00e7erisinde daha aktif g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Akar Rojava s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndan do\u011frudan ABD\u2019ye de mesaj verdi. Ortado\u011fu\u2019da bir yandan ABD\u2019nin piyonu pozisyonuna haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu ilan edip kullan\u0131lmay\u0131 talep ederken di\u011fer yandan ABD\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye olmadan Ortado\u011fu\u2019da s\u00fcrekli gerileyece\u011fi ve yenilece\u011fini iddia ederek \u00f6rt\u00fck bir \u015fekilde ABD\u2019yi tehdit de ediyordu. Ayn\u0131 zamanlarda ABD-TC aras\u0131ndaki temel z\u0131tla\u015fma noktalar\u0131ndan biri olarak g\u00f6sterilen S-400 sistemi i\u00e7in patirot sistemini ne kadar pahal\u0131 olursa olsun almaya haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 beyan ederek r\u00fc\u015fvet de teklif ediyordu. Bu mesaj zamanlama, s\u00f6ylenen yer ve ba\u011flam temelinde okursak TC\u2019nin ABD\u2019yi Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na ikna etmeyi ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131r\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu giri\u015fimlerin de\u011fi\u015fen ABD y\u00f6netimi referans g\u00f6sterilerek ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek do\u011fru de\u011fildir. \u00d6te yandan geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir MSD heyetinin siyasi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in Moskova ve Washington\u2019a davet edilmi\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131, yine \u00fcst d\u00fczey ABD g\u00f6revlilerinin Rojava\u2019y\u0131 ziyaret edip Rojava savunma g\u00fc\u00e7lerini \u00f6vmesini TC\u2019nin Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik i\u015fgal politikalar\u0131na ABD\u2019nin so\u011fuk bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde yorumlamak olaya tek tarafl\u0131 bakmak olacakt\u0131r. Bug\u00fcn \u00e7ok an\u0131msanmasa da 2019 yaz\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 koalisyon ve \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim TC\u2019nin iddialar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fctmek i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131r boyunca ge\u00e7erli bir uzla\u015fma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015fti. Fakat ABD\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131kar eksenli bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131ndaki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131nda yer almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle ABD\u2019nin DA\u0130\u015e kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 askeri ittifak s\u00f6yleminin TC sald\u0131rganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir anlam ifade etmedi\u011fini unutmamak gerekir. Ancak ve ancak \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netime ili\u015fkin siyasi bir g\u00fcvence Rojava ekseninde ABD\u2019nin TC\u2019den uzakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelecektir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki jestlerin, \u00f6vg\u00fclerin bir anlam\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmek gerekir. Kald\u0131 ki yukar\u0131da de\u011findi\u011fimiz \u00fczere TC\u2019nin fiili sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 zaten hi\u00e7 durmam\u0131\u015f, bug\u00fcne kadar ABD\u2019de bunlar\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in bir \u015fey de yapmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n &nbsp;durumu da \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netime ne ABD\u2019den daha yak\u0131n ne de daha uzakt\u0131r. Rojava\u2019ya ayn\u0131 menfaat \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yakla\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n TC ile hem tarihi hem de g\u00fcncel Kafkasya\u2019dan K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a kadar bir\u00e7ok alanda k\u00f6kl\u00fc uzla\u015fmazl\u0131k ve \u00e7eli\u015fkilerinin oldu\u011fu bilinmektedir. Fakat bu hakikat Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle Kuzey Do\u011fu Suriye d\u00fczleminde TC\u2019ye tavizler kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olanaklar sunmayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmez. Bu genel perspektiften bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tavr\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edebilmek i\u00e7in bakmam\u0131z gereken en \u00f6nemli yerin \u0130dlip oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rusya ve TC\u2019nin \u0130dlip\u2019teki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n tamamen \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fmeyecek bi\u00e7imde farkl\u0131d\u0131r. Buna ra\u011fmen fa\u015fist iktidar K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 i\u015fgalci sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na destek bulabilmek i\u00e7in \u0130dlip\u2019te tavizler verebilir. Fakat TC\u2019nin bu b\u00f6lgedeki emellerinden Rojava\u2019n\u0131n t\u00fcmden yutulmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kolay kolay vazge\u00e7meyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u0130dlib\u2019e bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fimler tespit edemiyoruz. Fakat TC\u2019nin Rusya ile s\u00fcrekli bir temas halinde oldu\u011funu da unutmamak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca Rusya \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\u2019i BAAS rejimine teslim denilebilecek ko\u015fullarda uzla\u015fmaya zorlamak i\u00e7in TC\u2019yi bir sopa olarak kullanmaktad\u0131r. TC\u2019nin y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc k\u0131smi sald\u0131r\u0131lara izin vermesinin bir nedeni buyken di\u011fer nedeni de kendince \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimi ABD\u2019den uzakla\u015ft\u0131rarak kendi yan\u0131na \u00e7ekme istemidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rusya\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 operasyona yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcncel i\u015fareti BAAS rejimi ile TC\u2019nin istihbari ba\u011flamda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131d\u0131r. TC taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan BAAS\u2019\u0131n ise sert bi\u00e7imde ret etti\u011fi bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r ve bug\u00fcn BAAS rejimini Rusya\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ele almak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. BAAS\u2019\u0131n bu sert ink\u00e2r\u0131 anlams\u0131z olmasa da manevra alan\u0131 a\u00e7ma olarak okumak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. T\u00fcm bu nedenlerden dolay\u0131 Rusya\u2019n\u0131n TC\u2019nin yeni bir sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na ses \u00e7\u0131karmamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sonu\u00e7 Yerine; Sald\u0131r\u0131ya Ba\u015flamadan K\u0131rman\u0131n Yollar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrk sald\u0131rganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bu planlar\u0131 ve haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 amac\u0131na ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmez. Tarihi de ya\u015fam\u0131 da egemenlerin karar\u0131 belirlemez. Aksine bu kararlara toplumlar\u0131n direni\u015finin oran\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 belirler. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l sonu\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek olan Kuzey Do\u011fu Suriye \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netiminin \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u00fct\u00fcnsel tutumu olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Her \u015feyin ba\u015f\u0131 bu sald\u0131r\u0131 tehlikesini ciddiye almak ve kirli y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc her seferde g\u00f6steren T\u00fcrk fa\u015fizminin bir kez daha sald\u0131rabilece\u011fine inanmakt\u0131r. Kald\u0131 ki bu sald\u0131r\u0131 her zaman olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu gibi 2021 g\u00fcz\u00fc i\u00e7in daha fazla ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011funu somut veriler g\u00f6stermektedir. Bunun yan\u0131nda bu i\u015fgal haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karman\u0131n ve sald\u0131r\u0131 geli\u015firse de onu p\u00fcsk\u00fcrtecek olan\u0131n \u00f6z savunma temelindeki direni\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmek gerekir. Rojava Devrimi\u2019ni tek ba\u015f\u0131na koruyacak olan uluslararas\u0131 dengeler, \u00e7\u0131kar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve devlet\u00e7i g\u00fc\u00e7lerin verdi\u011fi s\u00f6zler de\u011fildir. Devrimi koruyacak olan onu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren \u00f6z g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Toplumsal, askeri ve siyasi \u00f6z g\u00fc\u00e7 devrimi t\u00fcm tehlikelerden korur. Di\u011fer t\u00fcm dinamikler ancak bu \u00e7ekirdek \u00fczerinden anlaml\u0131 hale gelebilir.&nbsp; \u00d6zg\u00fc\u00e7 geli\u015ftirmek ise devrimi derinle\u015ftirmekten, \u00d6nder APO\u2019nun paradigmas\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm y\u00f6nlerini hayata ge\u00e7irmeden ve en \u00f6nemlisi sava\u015fan halk ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131karmaktan ge\u00e7er.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimin diplomasi \u00e7abalar\u0131 k\u0131ymetli olur ve anlam kazan\u0131r. T\u00fcrk yay\u0131lmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgede sadece K\u00fcrt halk\u0131na y\u00f6nelik de\u011fil, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fayan t\u00fcm halklara tehdit konumundad\u0131r. Bunun yan\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerle hem ABD ile hem de Rusya ile anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 vard\u0131r. Bu zeminde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclecek ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i diplomasi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bu sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda ku\u015fkusuz etkili olur. Bu temelde yak\u0131n olan T\u00fcrk Devletinin i\u015fgal giri\u015fiminin yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 tehlikeleri bu g\u00fc\u00e7lere anlatmak, kavratmak anlaml\u0131 bir \u00e7abad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rojava Devriminin Suriye d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki temel m\u00fcttefiki d\u00fcnyan\u0131n demokratik kamuoyu oldu\u011funu bilmek gerekir. Bu temelde daha \u015fimdiden bu g\u00fc\u00e7leri harekete ge\u00e7irme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131, yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 tehlikeyi bertaraf etmede esast\u0131r. Yine d\u00f6rt par\u00e7a K\u00fcrdistan\u2019da Rojava\u2019n\u0131n sahiplenilmesinin ne denli kritik oldu\u011fu bilinmektedir. Bu noktada \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yo\u011funla\u015fmal\u0131, t\u00fcm K\u00fcrtlerin yak\u0131n tehlikeyi g\u00f6rmesi ve harekete ge\u00e7mesi sa\u011flanmal\u0131d\u0131r.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcrk Devletinin Rojava\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik i\u015fgal tehlikesinin k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli de\u011fil tamamen g\u00fcndemden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ise tek ama tek bir yolu vard\u0131r. Bu da \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fte olan AKP-MHP fa\u015fizminin y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu fa\u015fist iktidar s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e t\u00fcm K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n tehdit alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu art\u0131k tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ve fa\u015fizm silahl\u0131 m\u00fccadele \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki b\u00fct\u00fcnsel direni\u015fle y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131r. Hi\u00e7bir par\u00e7a tek ba\u015f\u0131na kendini g\u00fcvenli k\u0131lamaz. Kendini savunamaz. HPG gerillalar\u0131 bu nedenle her yer de fa\u015fizme kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131yor ve direniyor. TC\u2019ye sert darbeler vurup sadece Ba\u015fur\u00ea K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 de\u011fil ayn\u0131 zamanda Rojava\u2019y\u0131 da koruyor. Bu temelde herkesin gerilla direni\u015f ile birle\u015fmesi farzd\u0131r. Fa\u015fist TC\u2019ye vurulacak her darbe sadece bir par\u00e7ay\u0131 de\u011fil t\u00fcm K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 \u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015ftirecektir. \u00d6yleyse bu fa\u015fist iktidar\u0131 y\u0131kmak i\u00e7in t\u00fcm K\u00fcrtlerin topyek\u00fbn direni\u015f konumuna ge\u00e7mesi gerekir. T\u00fcrk s\u00f6m\u00fcrgecili\u011finin hayallerini kursa\u011f\u0131nda b\u0131rakacak ve \u00d6nderli\u011fin tecridini k\u0131r\u0131p fiziki \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flayacak olan da K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 \u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015ftirecek olan da bu direni\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Leyla EG\u0130T<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi <\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son zamanlarda TC soyk\u0131r\u0131m ve i\u015fgal sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 Rojava\u2019ya kapsaml\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6neltece\u011fine dair ciddi emareler g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Bu i\u015faretleri ele almadan \u00f6nce AKP-MHP iktidar\u0131n\u0131n her zaman f\u0131rsat buldu\u011funda K\u00fcrde dair kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n oldu\u011fu her yere ama \u00f6zellikle de onun fa\u015fist soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ideolojisinin anti tezinin ya\u015fam buldu\u011fu Rojava\u2019ya sald\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmeliyiz. Bu sadece genel bir do\u011fru de\u011fil s\u00fcrekli [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":13197,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override":[{"single_blog_custom":"","sidebar":"","second_sidebar":"","share_position":"","share_float_style":"","post_date_format":"","post_date_format_custom":"","post_reading_time_wpm":"","zoom_button_out_step":"1","zoom_button_in_step":"1","number_popup_post":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"","single_post_gallery_size":""}],"trending_post_position":"","trending_post_label":"","sponsored_post_label":"","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":""},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":""},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[156,3174,353],"class_list":["post-13196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz","tag-rojava","tag-saldirilar","tag-tc"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13196"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13196\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13198,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13196\/revisions\/13198"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}