Madrid\u2019deki NATO toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Biden-Erdo\u011fan aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan Erdo\u011fan\u2019a \u2018an\u0131 yakala\u2019 denildi\u011fi ve Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Finlandiya ile \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in NATO\u2019ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki itiraz\u0131n\u0131 yumu\u015fatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilmektedir. Her d\u00f6nemi ifade eden tan\u0131mlamalar vard\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle de Bat\u0131l\u0131 hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin Rus-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ile ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve kar\u015f\u0131 hamle s\u00fcrecini bu tan\u0131m \u00fczerinden okumak olduk\u00e7a anlaml\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Bu c\u00fcmle ile kast edilen \u015fey ABD-AB\u2019nin yeni bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 ile on y\u0131ll\u0131k bir zaman\u0131n kast edildi\u011fi ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye buna dahil olmazsan treni ka\u00e7\u0131raca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bilindi\u011fi gibi 2003 Irak sava\u015f\u0131nda ABD ordusu i\u00e7in meclisten tezkere \u00e7\u0131karmayan TC ve AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmeti bir \u015fekilde bunun bedelini \u00f6demi\u015f, S\u00fcleymaniye\u2019de TC askerinin ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7uval giydirme hadisesi olay\u0131 sembolize eden g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc olmu\u015ftu. Yak\u0131n zamanda Rus-ABD denge ve \u00e7eli\u015fkilerine oynayan TC, Ruslar\u2019da S400 f\u00fczeleri alm\u0131\u015f, bunun da bedellerinden biri F 35 program\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftu. \u00c7\u0131karlar\u0131 gere\u011fi TC\u2019yi g\u00f6zden \u00e7\u0131karmayan ABD Erdo\u011fan bu kez \u2018aptal olma\u2019 demek yerine, ak\u0131ll\u0131 ol an\u0131 yakala demi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ABD ve NATO i\u015fgalci ve soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 T\u00fcrk devletinin yay\u0131lmac\u0131 politikalar\u0131na b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 gere\u011fi ses \u00e7\u0131karmamakta, tam tersi b\u00f6lge devletlerini bir de TC sopas\u0131yla terbiye etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Yine Ruslar\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki politikalar\u0131 birde TC yay\u0131lmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile dengelenmek istenmektedir. Fa\u015fist TC\u2019nin NATO \u00fcyesi olmas\u0131, gitti\u011fi ve konumland\u0131\u011f\u0131 her alan\u0131n NATO\u2019ya da a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131r. Yine PKK ile sava\u015fta 1985\u2019ten beri T\u00fcrk devletine aktif destek sunulmakta, askeri, siyasi, ekonomi, diplomatik her \u00e7e\u015fitten bol destekle, her zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda TC\u2019nin imdad\u0131na yeti\u015fmektedirler. Mevcut haliyle TC ve Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n PKK hareketi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en fazla zorlan\u0131lan d\u00f6nemde oldu\u011fu a\u015fikard\u0131r. Bitti, bitirildi denilen \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketi, t\u00fcm ABD-AB-NATO sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na, b\u00f6lge devletlerinin bask\u0131 ve zulm\u00fcne, yine paravan \u00f6rg\u00fct ve \u00e7etelere ra\u011fmen Bakur\u2019dan, Rojava\u2019ya ve di\u011fer K\u00fcrdistan par\u00e7alar\u0131na, Avrupa\u2019dan, di\u011fer k\u0131talara kadar kitlesel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc, siyasi ve askeri etkinli\u011fini korumakla kalmam\u0131\u015f daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015ftir. Bu konuda en fazla zorlanan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci T\u00fcrk devleti ve AKP-MHP h\u00fck\u00fcmeti gelmektedir. Neticede PKK, fa\u015fist \u015fef Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ve onun h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin de sonunu fiilen getirmi\u015ftir. Yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar bunu yeterince kan\u0131tlamaktad\u0131r. Bu sonu\u00e7 neticede Erdo\u011fan ve TC h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinin yenilgisi gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckse de asl\u0131nda, bu sava\u015f\u0131 kaybeden esas g\u00fc\u00e7 ABD ve NATO\u2019dur. PKK\u2019yi elli y\u0131ld\u0131r kendi emperyal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in engel g\u00f6ren hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7ler yeni d\u00f6nemin stratejisini olu\u015fturur, risk ve hedefleri belirlerken PKK\u2019yi buna dahil etmemeleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemezdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Madrid\u2019de TC, Finlandiya, \u0130sve\u00e7 y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131, haz\u0131rlanan bildirinin okunmas\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir de\u011fer atfetmedi. Diplomasi ve istihbarat heyetleri aras\u0131nda aylar ve haftalar\u0131 alan \u00f6n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler neticesinde bir konsens\u00fcs haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7l\u00fc momerandum denilen belge esas olarak ABD-NATO ve ilgili istihbarat kurumlar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131r hale getirilmi\u015f, TC\u2019ye prestij kazand\u0131rmak i\u00e7in toplant\u0131lar ayarlanm\u0131\u015f ve toplant\u0131 sonucu olarak kamuoyu ile payla\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu anlam\u0131yla da Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n talepleri de\u011fil, NATO\u2019nun hedefleri temelinde bir belge a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. TC\u2019nin Rojava\u2019ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131yla ba\u015flayan \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in silah ambargosunun sonland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda T\u00fcrk devletinin hi\u00e7bir talebi yerine getirilmedi. Silah ambargosunun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 da \u00f6zellikle Zap sava\u015f\u0131nda zorlanan TC\u2019ye destek sunma \u00fczere ortak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn neticesidir. Sadece bu destek bile K\u00fcrt soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na sistematik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir ba\u015fka yans\u0131mas\u0131d\u0131r. Farkl\u0131 n\u00fcanslar i\u00e7erse de NATO\u2019nun K\u00fcrt soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na deste\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Dolays\u0131yla bu s\u00fcreci derinlikli analiz etmek ve baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lara varmak \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. \u00d6zetlemek gerekirse: Bir; ABD-AB-NATO on y\u0131ll\u0131k stratejik pusula dedikleri d\u00f6nem politikalar\u0131na dahil etmi\u015fledir. TC\u2019nin bundan sonra bu g\u00fc\u00e7lere daha yak\u0131n durma zorunlulu\u011fu geli\u015fecektir. \u0130ki; NATO PKK ile sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini bu momeradumla do\u011frudan kamuoyuna yans\u0131tm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kamuoyu tepkisinden dolay\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ktan ilan etme yerine \u00e7o\u011funlukla yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi dolayl\u0131, iki devlet ve TC aras\u0131nda geli\u015fen bir sonu\u00e7 metni olarak sunu\u015f anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r bir durumdur. \u00dc\u00e7; Belge \u00fczerinden ilgili t\u00fcm \u00f6rg\u00fct ve g\u00fc\u00e7lere bir mesaj g\u00f6ndermi\u015f, ya i\u015fbirli\u011fi ya sava\u015f bi\u00e7imindeki i\u00e7erik iletilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
NATO \u00f6ncesi ve akabinde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen tart\u0131\u015fma ve toplant\u0131lar AKP-Erdo\u011fan odakl\u0131 ele al\u0131n\u0131p de\u011ferlendirilmektedir. Bu kusurlu bir yakla\u015f\u0131md\u0131r. A\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7 ve \u00f6ncesinde yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm tart\u0131\u015fma ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u015fgalci ve s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci TC devlet akl\u0131 ve politikas\u0131d\u0131r. Erdo\u011fan bu i\u015fi kendi iktidar\u0131n\u0131 koruma, yeniden se\u00e7ilme vaadi \u00fczerinden kurgulam\u0131\u015f, ancak TC ve ABD i\u015fin gelecek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik boyutuna odaklanarak konuya yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. TC devleti ve ABD\u2019nin Erdo\u011fan\u2019la iktidar \u00fczerinden bir anla\u015fmaya gidip gitmedikleri zaman i\u00e7inde netle\u015fecektir. Ancak konunun taraflar i\u00e7in Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n iktidar\u0131ndan daha fazla \u00f6nem ve \u00f6ncelik arz etti\u011fi, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutma mesaj\u0131 g\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc t\u00fcm s\u00fcre\u00e7 analiz edildi\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. Fakat esas gaye has\u0131l olmu\u015f ve PKK \u00f6zg\u00fcr K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeniden duyulur bi\u00e7imde deklere edilmi\u015ftir. \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n bahse konu belgede ge\u00e7en maddeleri zaman i\u00e7inde hayata ge\u00e7irilip ge\u00e7irmemesi, as\u0131l ama\u00e7 yan\u0131nda teferruattan ibarettir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00d6nemli ve bilin\u00e7li \u015fekilde alg\u0131 y\u00f6netimi ile yan\u0131lsama yarat\u0131lmak istenen bir husus da Erdo\u011fan-AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinin sonunun gelmesiyle geli\u015fecek duruma ili\u015fkindir. Tek c\u00fcmle ile ifade edilecekse \u2018Erdo\u011fan gider, biter\u2019 tezi d\u00fcnya ve b\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanan geli\u015fme ile olu\u015fturulan d\u00f6nem stratejilerine ters d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Bu tezi \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcten y\u0131\u011f\u0131nca g\u00fcncel \u00f6rnek vard\u0131r. NATO pakt\u0131n\u0131n kendini t\u00fcm b\u00f6lgede uzun s\u00fcreli bir sava\u015fa haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yeni D\u00fcnya Dizayn\u0131 hedefiyle bilin\u00e7li uzat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, NATO Sekreterinin PKK\u2019ye a\u00e7\u0131ktan sava\u015f ilan etti\u011fi, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131 ABD-AB stratejisinin risk ve tehlikeleri bertaraf etme \u00fczere belirlendi\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te TC-PKK sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n son bulmas\u0131na uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin destur ve olanak tan\u0131malar\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. TC-PKK aras\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn Ortado\u011fu ve d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 havay\u0131, etkiyi en iyi ABD ve \u0130srail bilir. Kald\u0131 ki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n gidi\u015fiyle ilgili yo\u011fun bir tart\u0131\u015fma ve baz\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar g\u00f6ze \u00e7arparken, sava\u015f\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hi\u00e7bir emare yoktur. Tam tersi, sava\u015f b\u00fct\u00e7esi art\u0131r\u0131lmakta, ordunun teknik donan\u0131m\u0131 nitel a\u00e7\u0131dan g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmekte, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle devreye konulan sava\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz s\u00fcre\u00e7te Ya\u015far G\u00fcler\u2019in emeklili\u011finin 5 y\u0131l uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bunun i\u00e7in Genel Kurmay Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n emeklilik yasas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi bile do\u011fru sonuca varmak i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ama \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6rnektir. Zaten kendileri de bunu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a \u2018ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadele de var\u0131lan a\u015faman\u0131n kesintiye u\u011framamas\u0131 ve biriken tecr\u00fcbenin nakledilmesi\u2019 bi\u00e7iminde form\u00fcle ettiler. Dolays\u0131yla bunlar\u0131 sadece Erdo\u011fan\u2019la izah etmek ve gidi\u015fiyle sonu\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 var saymak yan\u0131lg\u0131l\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131md\u0131r. Dikkat edilirse 6\u2019l\u0131 masa akt\u00f6rlerinin de yar\u0131m a\u011f\u0131zdan verdikleri mesaj ve imalar ile kimi olaylara y\u00f6nelik kulland\u0131klar\u0131 dil bunu g\u00f6stermektedir. 6\u2019l\u0131 masan\u0131n devletle anla\u015fmaya vard\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki yorumlar yabana at\u0131lacak cinsten de\u011fildir. Kendilerinden emin konu\u015fmalar\u0131, iktidara gelmi\u015f, gelecek havas\u0131yla hareket etmeleri hem devlet hem de baz\u0131 d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan gerekli icazet ve deste\u011fi ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret olsa da bunu ba\u015faracaklar\u0131 ve iktidara gelmeleri AKP\u2019nin t\u00fcm \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f haline ra\u011fmen kesin de\u011fildir. Devletin, \u00f6zelde de derin devletin (ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00d6zel Harp Dairesi ve M\u0130T \u00e7ekmektedir) 6\u2019l\u0131 masa ile anla\u015fman\u0131n ilk \u015fart\u0131 PKK-K\u00fcrtlerle sava\u015f konseptinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesidir. \u015e\u00fcphesiz Erdo\u011fan ve AKP-MHP h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de halklar lehine olumlu bir iklim, zemin ve imkan yaratacakt\u0131r. Ancak bunun demokratik bir yap\u0131ya m\u0131, yoksa ulusalc\u0131, soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, zihniyetinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131na m\u0131 evirilece\u011fi belirsizdir. Bunu g\u00fc\u00e7lerin m\u00fccadelesi belirleyecektir. \u00d6zetle beklenen siyasi de\u011fi\u015fim geli\u015firse, yeni bir m\u00fccadele s\u00fcreci de kendisini izleyecektir. M\u00fccadelenin, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da \u015fiddetin dozaj\u0131n\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 destek ile TC\u2019nin i\u00e7 dinamiklerinin ekonomik g\u00fcc\u00fc ve toplumsal yap\u0131lar\u0131n tutumu belirleyecektir. T\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn toplam\u0131nda m\u00fccadele arg\u00fcmanlar\u0131, y\u00f6ntem ve \u015fiddet orant\u0131lar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fimler, gelgitler ya\u015fansa da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcrecin T\u00fcrkiyesinde k\u0131sa vadede toplumsal, siyasal sorunlar\u0131n k\u00f6kl\u00fc \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnden ziyade demokratik zeminin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ve bunun \u00fczerinden sorunlara \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm konsens\u00fcslerin olu\u015ftu\u011fu bir d\u00f6neme girilebilir. Devlet\u00e7i, soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 zihniyetin sava\u015f konseptinde \u0131srarc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131, ancak bunun AKP d\u00f6nemi kadar b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fckl\u00fc y\u00fcr\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in rezervlerin hayli t\u00fcketildi\u011fini, \u0131srar\u0131n bu kez TC\u2019nin sonunu getirmesi, yani \u00fcniter yap\u0131n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla neticelenmesi olas\u0131l\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131 say\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Ortado\u011fu\u2019da \u00fcniter yap\u0131lar\u0131n geleceksiz gelece\u011fi ve toplumsal ba\u015fkald\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 etki \u00f6rneklerle g\u00fcncelli\u011fini korumaktad\u0131r. Olup bitenler g\u00f6sterdi ki kendilerini devlet \u00ad+ demokrasi form\u00fclasyonuna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeyen bu yap\u0131lar\u0131n diren\u00e7 limidi s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Duruma bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Madrid g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin somutta soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 TC\u2019ye PKK ile sava\u015fta silah deste\u011finin devam edece\u011finin teminat\u0131 verilmi\u015ftir. Ki silah ve g\u00fc\u00e7 deste\u011fi hi\u00e7bir zaman kesilmedi. TC\u2019nin i\u00e7te ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasi, ekonomik, diplomatik t\u0131kanma ve toplumsal sorunlar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki se\u00e7ime kadar derinle\u015ferek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir. Bu sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda ne ABD ve AB, ne de Bin Salman\u2019dan derde deva bir geli\u015fmenin g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 irdelendi\u011finde anla\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Yani \u00f6zcesi yanda\u015f medyan\u0131n t\u00fcm zafer ilanlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Erdo\u011fan ve AKP-MHP h\u00fck\u00fcmetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye g\u00f6t\u00fcren nedenler oldu\u011fu yerde durmaktad\u0131r. Mevcut T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin siyasi iktidar\u0131 ve eldeki imkanlar yak\u0131n zamanda ya\u015fanan sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in gerekli imkan ve ko\u015fullardan yoksundur. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
PKK d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan K\u00fcrtler, \u00f6zelde de KDP\u2019nin s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci-soyk\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 TC-AKP ile y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kader karde\u015fli\u011fi t\u00fcm boyutlar\u0131yla devam ederken AB ve NATO\u2019nu bu ihanet\u00e7i \u015febekeye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 vurgulanmak durumundad\u0131r. Bu stratejilerin \u00e7izildi\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7te Mesrur Barzani \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye davet edilmi\u015f, baz\u0131 toplant\u0131lara kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011fanm\u0131\u015f ve neticede i\u015fbirlik\u00e7ilik temelinde siyasi, ekonomik ve askeri destek vaadi ile d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kimi deme\u00e7lere yans\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. KDP ve K\u00fcrt b\u00f6lgesel y\u00f6netiminin i\u00e7 sorunlar\u0131 Irak ve \u0130ran ile \u00e7eli\u015fkileri artm\u0131\u015f bulunmaktad\u0131r. Ya\u015fanan zorlanma TC ve Bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerle ili\u015fkiyi geli\u015ftirerek a\u015fma, en az\u0131ndan iktidarlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme hedefindedirler. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lere yak\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a da belirtilen devletlerle sorunlar derinle\u015fecektir. Fakat \u00f6nemli olan husus KDP\u2019nin PKK kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ABD-AB\u2019nin d\u00f6nem stratejisini ihanet\u00e7ilik \u00fczerinden tamamlar olu\u015fudur. Yani KDP\u2019ye bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te bi\u00e7ilen misyon K\u00fcrdi bir yap\u0131 olarak her zamanki gibi PKK\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik yap\u0131lan ve yap\u0131lacak olan komplo, sald\u0131r\u0131 ve yasaklama konseptlerine dahil olmas\u0131, me\u015fruiyet kazand\u0131rma \u00e7abas\u0131d\u0131r. KDP, TC ve NATO\u2019nun ortak PKK stratejilerinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc orta\u011f\u0131 olarak benimsedi\u011fi ve kendisine bi\u00e7ilen misyonla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te hareket etmeye devam edecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sonu\u00e7 Yerine:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131nda daha yo\u011funluklu bir sava\u015f ve m\u00fccadele s\u00fcrecine girdi\u011fimize dair somut veriler olduk\u00e7a fazlad\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te biraz daha erken haz\u0131rlanan ve inisiyatifi elde tutan ABD ve arkada kalmak isteyen \u0130srail\u2019dir. \u0130ttifak\u0131n tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc NATO ve AB \u00fclkeleridir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 hamle yapmak isteyen bu g\u00fc\u00e7lere olanak tan\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu kapsamda sava\u015f\u0131 zamana yayarak tehlike alg\u0131s\u0131 yaratmada ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olduklar\u0131 belirtilebilir. \u00d6yle ki 70 y\u0131ld\u0131r veremden ka\u00e7ar gibi NATO \u00fcyeli\u011finden ka\u00e7an \u0130sve\u00e7 y\u0131llard\u0131r dile getirdi\u011fi argumlar\u0131 hi\u00e7e sayarak yalvar yakar NATO \u00fcyeli\u011fi i\u00e7in kap\u0131 kap\u0131 dola\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Birinci ama\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yo\u011funluklu ve Ortado\u011fu eksenli olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p, Avrupa s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na dayand\u0131rmakt\u0131. \u0130kinci hedef yeni tehdit-d\u00fc\u015fman alg\u0131s\u0131 yaratmakt\u0131. Nitekim bunu 2001\u2019de ikiz kule sald\u0131r\u0131yla ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f, 2011 de Dai\u015f propagandas\u0131yla bunu g\u00fcncellemek istediler. Ancak PKK\u2019nin Dai\u015f\u2019i k\u0131rmas\u0131, bu \u00e7etelerin Avrupa\u2019ya sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 da engellemi\u015f oldu. Buradan bekledikleri d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 yaratamad\u0131lar. Son Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015fla Avrupa halk ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinde istenen korku ve alg\u0131 yarat\u0131ld\u0131. S\u0131ra da AB ve NATO\u2019yu bu tehdit kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden d\u00fczenlemek ve d\u00fcnya genelinde yeniden ittifak aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu yo\u011fun hareketliliklerin amac\u0131 bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00f6zetlenebilir. Olu\u015fan on y\u0131l\u0131k strateji belgeleri de halliye bu ger\u00e7e\u011fe ve kapitalist sistemin b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne uymak zorundad\u0131r. Hem g\u00fcvenlik, hem de ekonomik i\u00e7erikte olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Ticaret, enerji ve maddi k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcn dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131 belirlenen strateji temelinde kendine alan bulacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Hegemonik baronlar\u0131n 2030 stratejileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f NATO, birli\u011fi sa\u011flama al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f AB, Arap devletleriyle ittifak ve yeni g\u00fcvenlik ve ticari anla\u015fmalar, \u0130srail\u2019in g\u00fcvenli\u011fi gibi kaba hatlar ekseninde olu\u015fturulurken temel tehdit s\u0131ralamas\u0131 da \u00f6nemlidir. Bunlar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Bir; Rusya. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n askeri olarak b\u00f6lgedeki yay\u0131lmac\u0131 politikas\u0131 giderek ABD-AB\u2019nin yeniden dizayn politikalar\u0131 i\u00e7in risk te\u015fkil etmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0130ki; \u00c7in. \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik ve ticaret hacmi giderek artan bir h\u0131z kazanm\u0131\u015f durumda. 2030\u2019 a kadar milli has\u0131lat, ithalat-ihracatta ABD\u2019yi ge\u00e7ece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Yine bilim-teknik, altyap\u0131 ve telekom\u00fcnikasyonda olduk\u00e7a geli\u015fme kaydetmi\u015ftir. \u00d6zetle uyuyan dev, potansiyel s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 gibi tan\u0131mlamalar \u00c7in devletinin geli\u015fimini ifade etmektedir ve ABD-AB i\u00e7in risk bar\u0131nd\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00dc\u00e7; \u0130ran. Denetim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 n\u00fckleer silah \u00fcretimi \u00fczerinden uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin bask\u0131 ve tecrit alt\u0131na ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130ran, n\u00fckleer silah d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u0130srail\u2019in g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit eden en \u00f6nemli akt\u00f6rd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n D\u00f6rt: PKK. K\u00fcrt \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketinin demokratik halk \u00e7izgisi, kapitalist sistem taraf\u0131ndan tehlikeli g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi ve iktidarc\u0131, devlet\u00e7i kesimlerle ittifak kurarak PKK kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 m\u00fccadeleyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fi son Madrid\u2019de okunan ve NATO genel sekreterinin de bulundu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131klama ile tecil edilmi\u015f oldu. PKK\u2019ye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n birinci boyutu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde geli\u015fen etksini zay\u0131flatma, daraltma iken, di\u011fer boyutu PKK\u2019nin etkisi alt\u0131ndaki par\u00e7a yap\u0131lanlamalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden de\u011fi\u015fim-d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme zorlama ve sisteme \u00e7ekme bi\u00e7iminde ifade etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. NATO\u2019nun PKK ile m\u00fccadele stratejilerinin ilki 1985-2010 aras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7 tasfiye a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131yd\u0131, son on y\u0131ll\u0131k stratejinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan yan\u0131 PKK\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki geli\u015fimini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmayd\u0131. Yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7 sava\u015f\/s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rma ile birlikte kurulacak bask\u0131 ile d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme daha fazla zorlama bi\u00e7iminde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. Zira \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc zirve mutabakat\u0131na YPG-PYD ifadelerinin eklenmesini bu a\u00e7\u0131dan de\u011ferlendirmek, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte oldu\u011fu gibi tehdit ve \u015fantaj \u00f6\u011felerini s\u0131k\u00e7a kullanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini belirtmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n NATO, bu temel risk ve hedefler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan devlet, \u00f6rg\u00fct ve iktidarlara kar\u015f\u0131 bilinen ekonomi, askeri, ambargo, darbe gibi \u00f6zel sava\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlerle 2030 y\u0131l\u0131 strateji hayata ge\u00e7irilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buradan da hareketle K\u00fcrdistan\u0131 i\u015fgal eden devletlerin ya\u015famakta oldu\u011fu i\u00e7 buhranlar\u0131n yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7te de varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 en ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcd\u00fcr. Bunlar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli demokratik ad\u0131mlar\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 at\u0131lmas\u0131 hem i\u00e7 hem d\u0131\u015f engellerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015facakt\u0131r. T\u00fcm bunlara ra\u011fmen PKK\u2019nin etkili yap\u0131s\u0131 bu g\u00fc\u00e7leri her ko\u015fulda ad\u0131m atmaya zorlayacak ve \u00f6zellikle de TC devleti eski zihniyet tortular\u0131 ve NATO\u2019nun PKK-\u00f6zg\u00fcr K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma ya\u015famaya devem edecektir. Bu on y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7 PKK\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede etkisinin h\u0131zl\u0131, ancak ilgili devletlerle anayasal \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme gitmede temponun yava\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 olaca\u011fa benzemektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7te Ortado\u011fu\u2019da esas olarak \u00e7eli\u015fki ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ABD-NATO ile b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131nda de\u011fil, esas olarak PKK ile bu hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7 ve ittifak birli\u011fi ile olacakt\u0131r. Her iki g\u00fc\u00e7 direk kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 bir sava\u015fa girmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131k dahilindedir. ABD ve NATO K\u00fcrtlerle direk bir sava\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6ze almaya bilir. Ancak b\u00f6lgenin esas belirleyeni PKK olacakt\u0131r. Hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7ler PKK\u2019yi frenleme, etkisini azaltma, zay\u0131flatma ve darbeleme planlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc devreye koymay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerdir. Bu y\u00f6n\u00fcyle PKK\u2019nin bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerle m\u00fccadelesi yeni bir boyuta, \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fki ve \u00e7eli\u015fkili bir evreye girme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Bu ayn\u0131 zamanda demokratik halklar ile iktidarc\u0131, erkek egemenlikli devlet\u00e7i devlet temsilci ve olu\u015fumlar\u0131n m\u00fccadelesi olacakt\u0131r. Ba\u015far\u0131 yada ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k olu\u015fturulan stratejilerin konjekt\u00fcr, toplumsal yap\u0131 ve tarihsel ger\u00e7eklikle g\u00fc\u00e7lerin \u00f6rg\u00fctlenme, askeri yarat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k ve ideolojik yetkinliklerinin kabiliyetlerinde sakl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ali KASIM<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Madrid\u2019deki NATO toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Biden-Erdo\u011fan aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan Erdo\u011fan\u2019a \u2018an\u0131 yakala\u2019 denildi\u011fi ve Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Finlandiya ile \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in NATO\u2019ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki itiraz\u0131n\u0131 yumu\u015fatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilmektedir. Her d\u00f6nemi ifade eden tan\u0131mlamalar vard\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle de Bat\u0131l\u0131 hegemonik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin Rus-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ile ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve kar\u015f\u0131 hamle s\u00fcrecini bu tan\u0131m \u00fczerinden okumak olduk\u00e7a anlaml\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13665,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override":[{"single_blog_custom":"","sidebar":"","second_sidebar":"","share_position":"","share_float_style":"","post_date_format":"","post_date_format_custom":"","post_reading_time_wpm":"","zoom_button_out_step":"1","zoom_button_in_step":"1","number_popup_post":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"","single_post_gallery_size":""}],"trending_post_position":"","trending_post_label":"","sponsored_post_label":"","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":""},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":""},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,13],"tags":[2830,3552,3510,793,363,3553,353],"class_list":["post-13663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arastirmalar","category-dizi-yazi","tag-ab","tag-biden","tag-isvec","tag-nato","tag-pkk","tag-s400","tag-tc"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13663"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13663\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13666,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13663\/revisions\/13666"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13665"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}