Hilwe\u015f\u00eena rej\u00eema Baas\u00ea li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea b\u00fb sedem ku aktor\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee \u00fb c\u00eehan\u00ee poz\u00eesyon\u00ean xwe ji n\u00fb ve binirx\u00eenin. Gelek derdoran \u00eedia kirin ku bi v\u00ea hilwe\u015f\u00een\u00ea re R\u00fbsya ji hevk\u00ea\u015feya S\u00fbriyey\u00ea hatiye derxistin, l\u00ea ti\u015ft\u00ean li qad\u00ea qewim\u00een n\u00ee\u015fan dan ku ev nirxandin z\u00fb hatine kirin. Heta demeke n\u00eaz\u00eek uns\u00fbr\u00ean Heyet Tehr\u00eer el-\u015eam (HT\u015e) ku R\u00fbsya wek\u00ee “pi\u015ftgir\u00ea teror\u00ea” \u00fb “kujer” \u00eelan dikirin, \u00eero li p\u00ea\u015fiya pergal\u00ean parastina heway\u00ee y\u00ean S-300 \u00ean R\u00fbs\u00ee poz didin; ev yek wek\u00ee del\u00eela her\u00ee \u015f\u00eanber a guher\u00eena rad\u00eekal a li pi\u015ft perdey\u00ea ket qeydan. Gelo \u00e7awa hatin v\u00ea ast\u00ea?<\/p>\n
ESAD\u00ca KU DEMA W\u00ce QEDIYA \u00db \u2018\u015eANOYA D\u00cePLOMAT\u00ceK\u2019 A R\u00dbSYAY\u00ca\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n R\u00fbsyay\u00ea heta 7’\u00ea Kan\u00fbn\u00ea di gotara ferm\u00ee de diyar dikir ku li cem r\u00eaveberiya \u015eam\u00ea ye \u00fb ji bo \u00e7areseriy\u00ea p\u00eavajoya Astanay\u00ea n\u00ee\u015fan dida. L\u00ea bel\u00ea di v\u00ea ast\u00ea de hat f\u00eamkirin ku ev gotin ten\u00ea ji takt\u00eekeke mij\u00fblkirina d\u00eeplomat\u00eek p\u00eak dihat. Moskow\u00ea dizanib\u00fb ku \u00ead\u00ee Esad xwed\u00ee wesfa l\u00eedertiyek domdar n\u00eene, berteka gel a li dij\u00ee Esad \u00fb \u00ceran\u00ea gih\u00ee\u015ftiye asteke venegere \u00fb hilwe\u015f\u00eena abor\u00ee daw\u00ee li rej\u00eem\u00ea aniye.<\/p>\n Ji bo Kreml\u00een\u00ea meseleya esas\u00ee ne ew b\u00fb ku k\u00ee li \u015eam\u00ea r\u00fbni\u015ftiye, mesele ew b\u00fb ku k\u00ee w\u00ea berjewendiy\u00ean stratej\u00eek \u00ean R\u00fbsyay\u00ea bipar\u00eaze. Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de Moskow\u00ea di destp\u00eak\u00ea de xwest bi derxistina p\u00ea\u015f a kesayet\u00ean wek\u00ee malbata Cabir \u00fb Suheyl Hesen, di nava rej\u00eem\u00ea de alternat\u00eefek\u00ea biafir\u00eene. L\u00ea tirs \u00fb fikar\u00ean Esad \u00ean desthilatdariy\u00ea, ev p\u00eangav p\u00fb\u00e7 kirin. Biray\u00ean Eymen \u00fb M\u00fbhammed Cabir \u00fb Fermandar\u00ea H\u00eaz\u00ean Kaplan Suheyl Hesen, ji ber tirsa Esad a “l\u00eeder\u00ea alternat\u00eef” ketin p\u00eavajoya tesfiyey\u00ea \u00fb ne\u00e7ar man xwe spartin parastina R\u00fbsyay\u00ea.<\/p>\n \u015eER\u00ca UKRAYNAY\u00ca \u00db P\u00ca\u015eENGIY\u00caN KU DIGUHERIN <\/strong><\/p>\n Stratejiya R\u00fbsyay\u00ea ya ku li ser hevsengiya bi \u00ceran\u00ea re dime\u015fiya, li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea ji kontrol\u00ea derketib\u00fb. Li gel v\u00ea yek\u00ea, westandina ji ber \u015fer\u00ea Ukraynay\u00ea, h\u00eaza projeksiyona le\u015fker\u00ee ya kevn a R\u00fbsyay\u00ea s\u00eenordar kir. Ev rew\u015f b\u00fb sedem ku Moskow, bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re ku di p\u00ee\u015fesaziya parastin\u00ea de hevkariy\u00ean ve\u015fart\u00ee dime\u015f\u00eene \u00fb di projey\u00ean teknoloj\u00eek \u00ean p\u00ea\u015fket\u00ee de hevkar\u00ee dike re t\u00eakiliyek neyekser, bi HT\u015e’a di bin l\u00eederiya Eb\u00fb M\u00fbhammed el-Colan\u00ee de j\u00ee li zem\u00eeneke n\u00fb ya yekser bigere.<\/p>\n R\u00fbsya hay j\u00ea heb\u00fb ku \u00eest\u00eexbarata Rojava (CIA \u00fb \u00eest\u00eexbarata \u00cengil\u00eez) bi ser Tirkiyey\u00ea re bi HTS’\u00ea re di t\u00eakiliy\u00ea de ne, l\u00ea ji bo p\u00ea\u015fketina ewqas bilez a p\u00eavajoy\u00ea amade neb\u00fb. Moskow\u00ea ku \u015foka destp\u00eak\u00ea derbas kir, li hember\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fve\u00e7\u00fbna \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u00fb pol\u00eet\u00eekaya ‘bisekine-bib\u00eene’ ya Tirkiyey\u00ea, terc\u00eeh kir ku bi Colan\u00ee re t\u00eakiliyeke pragmat\u00eek p\u00ea\u015f bixe. Her \u00e7end \u00eediay\u00ean hevd\u00eetina rasterast a di navbera P\u00fbt\u00een \u00fb Colan\u00ee de bikevin rojev\u00ea j\u00ee, e\u015fkere ye ku bingeh\u00ean v\u00ea t\u00eakiliy\u00ea disp\u00earin rabird\u00fbyeke k\u00fbrtir \u00fb ne\u00e7ariyan.<\/p>\n BINESAZ\u00ce LI CEM R\u00dbSYAY\u00ca, RETOR\u00ceK LI CEM TIRKIYEY\u00ca YE <\/strong><\/p>\n Her \u00e7end di navbera Tirkiye \u00fb r\u00eaveberiya Colan\u00ee de t\u00eakiliy\u00ean xurt hebin j\u00ee, di dawiy\u00ea de ne p\u00eakan e ku HT\u015e rasterast R\u00fbsyay\u00ea bide p\u00ea\u015fiya xwe. Li hember\u00ee pi\u015ftevaniya retor\u00eek a Enqerey\u00ea, kontrola tor\u00ean kr\u00eet\u00eek \u00ean ji binesaziya p\u00ee\u015fesaziy\u00ea ya S\u00fbriyey\u00ea heta pergal\u00ean enerjiy\u00ea bi r\u00eajeyeke mezin di dest\u00ea R\u00fbsan de ye. Ev rast\u00ee n\u00ee\u015fan dide ku senaryoyeke ku li qad\u00ea R\u00fbsyay\u00ea tune bihesib\u00eene, hem ji bo HTS’\u00ea hem j\u00ee ji bo Tirkiyey\u00ea ne p\u00eakan e.<\/p>\n Colan\u00ee ku ji welat\u00ean Kendav\u00ea s\u00eenyal\u00ean pi\u015ftevaniya mad\u00ee werdigire \u00fb li cem DYA’y\u00ea me\u015fr\u00fbiyeteke diyar bi dest xistiye, ji bo Moskow\u00ea prof\u00eela hevkarek\u00ee “t\u00ea bir\u00eavebirin” x\u00eaz dike. L\u00ea h\u00eaza yekane ya ku bikare Colan\u00ee li hember\u00ee gefa \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea bipar\u00eaze, ji dervey\u00ee soz\u00ean Tirkiyey\u00ea, giraniya d\u00eeplomat\u00eek \u00fb le\u015fker\u00ee ya R\u00fbsyay\u00ea ye. Moskow xwed\u00ee w\u00ea kapas\u00eetey\u00ea ye ku bi ser f\u00eegur\u00ean wek\u00ee M\u00fbnaf Atlas \u00fb Kadr\u00ee Cem\u00eel re bask\u00ea mixal\u00eef araste bike \u00fb dema p\u00eaw\u00eest be Colan\u00ee s\u00eenordar bike.<\/p>\n HILWE\u015e\u00ceNA ISRARA NETEWE-DEWLET\u00ca \u00db RASTIYA \u2018NETEWEYA DEMOKRAT\u00ceK\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n Hem\u00fb ev d\u00eenam\u00eek n\u00ee\u015fan didin ku R\u00fbsya vegeriyaye pragmat\u00eezma xwe ya 2015’an. R\u00fbsyaya ku di dem\u00ean bor\u00ee de di \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean li ser Efr\u00een\u00ea de qada heway\u00ee vekirib\u00fb, \u00eero j\u00ee di p\u00ea\u015fve\u00e7\u00fbna HT\u015e’\u00ea ya li \u00cedlib \u00fb derdora w\u00ea de heman rol\u00ea dil\u00eeze.<\/p>\n Hilwe\u015f\u00eena Esad encama helwesta w\u00ee ya navend\u00eepar\u00eaz a hi\u015fk a ku digot “ji her ti\u015ft\u00ee re na” b\u00fb. Esad li gel arastekirin\u00ean R\u00fbsyay\u00ea j\u00ee maseya bi Tirkiyey\u00ea re red kir, l\u00ea \u015fa\u015fitiya w\u00ee ya her\u00ee mezin ew b\u00fb ku bi Kurdan re t\u00eakil\u00ee daneni. Heger r\u00eaveberiya \u015eam\u00ea modela R\u00eaveberiya Xweser nas bikira \u00fb ji refleksa netewe-dewleta klas\u00eek dev berda \u00fb bi perspekt\u00eefa neteweya demokrat\u00eek bi Kurdan re hevkar\u00ee bikira, \u00eero li \u015eam\u00ea ne Colan\u00ee, l\u00ea Esad w\u00ea xwed\u00ee gotin b\u00fbya. Wek\u00ee hi\u015fyariyeke d\u00eerok\u00ee; heger Colan\u00ee j\u00ee wek\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fiy\u00ean xwe di feraseta netewe-dewleta yekpar\u00eaz de israr bike, e\u015fkere ye ku aq\u00fbbeta w\u00ee w\u00ea ji ya Esad ne cudatir be.<\/p>\n BERXWEDANA GEL: BERSIVA D\u00ceROK\u00ce YA LI DIJ\u00ce FERZKIRINA TESL\u00ceMIYET\u00ca\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n \u00a0<\/strong>Y\u00ean ku difikirin bi zexta li ser tax\u00ean diyar \u00ean Heleb\u00ea dikarin gel \u00fb pergal\u00ea tesl\u00eem bigirin, di xwendina sosyolojiya her\u00eam\u00ea de \u015fa\u015fitiy\u00ea dikin. Gel\u00ea ku li wir dij\u00ee, bi salan e bi perspekt\u00eefa \u015fer\u00ea gel \u00ea \u015fore\u015fger\u00ee, li gel ko\u00e7ber\u00ee \u00fb \u00ear\u00ee\u015fan j\u00ee berxwedaneke bi r\u00fbmet n\u00ee\u015fan dide. Peyama P\u00fbt\u00een a “h\u00eaz di dest\u00ea te de ye l\u00ea s\u00eenor\u00ean xwe bizanibe” ya ji bo Colan\u00ee li aliyek\u00ee, ya ku esas diyarker e h\u00eaza cewher\u00ee ya gel e. Wek\u00ee duh \u00eero j\u00ee \u015fans\u00ea serketin\u00ea y\u00ea plan\u00ean ku v\u00ea rastiya civak\u00ee tune dihesib\u00eenin, n\u00eene.<\/p>\n