Tirkiye ji destp\u00eaka damezrandina DAI\u015e\u2019\u00ea ve rasterast pi\u015ftgir\u00ee daye w\u00ea, ji kaosa her\u00eam\u00ee s\u00fbd werdigire. Pi\u015ftgiriya loj\u00eest\u00eek\u00ee, veguhestina \u015fervanan, parvekirina \u00eest\u00eexbarat\u00ea \u00fb t\u00eakiliy\u00ean abor\u00ee y\u00ean bi DAI\u015e\u2019\u00ea re rastiy\u00ean belgekir\u00ee ne. Her gava ku Kurd li her dever\u00ea destkeftiyan bi dest dixistin, Tirkiye tavil\u00ea mudaxele dikir \u00fb operasyon\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee dest p\u00ea dikir. Pi\u015ft\u00ee hilwe\u015fandina rej\u00eema Esed li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea, Tirkiyey\u00ea bi stratejiyeke cuda \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ee R\u00eaveberiya Xweser a Bakur \u00fb Rojhilat\u00ea S\u00fbriyey\u00ea kir. Ev \u00ear\u00ee\u015f bi pejirandina b\u00eadeng a civaka navnetewey\u00ee p\u00eak hatin. Niha, e\u015fkereye ku heman model li ser Iraq\u00ea j\u00ee t\u00ea sepandin.<\/p>\n
Daxuyaniya Wez\u00eer\u00ea Kar\u00ea Derve ya AKP\u2019\u00ea Hakan F\u00eedan, “Pi\u015ft\u00ee S\u00fbriyey\u00ea, dora Iraq\u00ea ye,” \u00eefadeya her\u00ee zelal a v\u00ea stratejiy\u00ea ye. Modela ku li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea hatiye sepandin – destwerdana bi r\u00eaya h\u00eaz\u00ean wek\u00eel, hilwe\u015fandina r\u00eaveberiy\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee, endezyariya demograf\u00eek – niha li Ba\u015f\u00fbr\u00ea Kurdistan\u00ea \u00fb \u015eengal\u00ea t\u00ea sepandin. Li Art\u00ea\u015fa Iraq\u00ea zext t\u00ea kirin ku di v\u00ea model\u00ea de rola h\u00eaza wek\u00eel a Tirkiyey\u00ea bigire ser xwe.<\/p>\n
CIV\u00ceNA M\u00ceT-DYA \u00db PLANA JI BO T\u00caK\u00c7\u00dbNA YB\u015e LI \u015eENGAL\u00ca<\/strong><\/p>\n Li gor\u00ee agahiy\u00ean ku me ji \u00e7avkaniy\u00ean p\u00eabawer bi dest xistine, di 3\u2019\u00ea Hez\u00eerana 2026\u2019an de, yekser pi\u015ft\u00ee ku Tom Barrack ji aliy\u00ea Trump ve wek\u00ee n\u00fbner\u00ea taybet \u00ea Iraq\u00ea ji bil\u00ee rola w\u00ee ya li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea hate tay\u00eenkirin, M\u00ceT bi \u015fandeya Amer\u00eek\u00ee ya li Iraq\u00ea re hevd\u00eetinek li darxist. Hat h\u00eenb\u00fbn ku rojeva sereke ya civ\u00een\u00ea, jihol\u00earakirina h\u00eaz\u00ean YB\u015e li \u015eengal \u00fb entegrekirina wan bi Art\u00ea\u015fa Iraq\u00ea re b\u00fb.<\/p>\n Dewleta Tirk v\u00ea p\u00eavajoy\u00ea wek\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fb\u00eeniyek stratej\u00eek dib\u00eene ji ber ku ew her\u00eama \u015eengal wek\u00ee “her\u00eamek gir\u00eaday\u00ee Tevgera Azadiy\u00ea” dib\u00eene. Armanc ew e ku di bin nav\u00ea “entegrekirin\u00ea” de rew\u015fa hey\u00ee ya li her\u00eam\u00ea bi tevah\u00ee ji hol\u00ea rake. Pi\u015ft\u00ee ku hin h\u00eaz\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee y\u00ean \u015e\u00eee y\u00ean di nav He\u015fd\u00ee \u015eeb\u00ee de biryar dan ku ji hev veqetin, Tirkiye v\u00ea serdem\u00ea wek\u00ee derfetek dib\u00eene ku YB\u015e j\u00ee ji hol\u00ea rake. B\u00ea guman ew \u00ea hem\u00ee bandora xwe bikar b\u00eene da ku rew\u015fa hey\u00ee ya li wir bi tevah\u00ee ji hol\u00ea rake.<\/p>\n SIYASETA N\u00db YA DYA YA \u00ceRAQ-S\u00dbRIYEY\u00ca<\/strong><\/p>\n Wek\u00ee ku t\u00ea zan\u00een, di 31\u2019\u00ea Gulana 2026\u2019an de, Serok\u00ea DYA Donald Trump ya Tom Barrack wek\u00ee N\u00fbner\u00ea Taybet \u00ea S\u00fbriye \u00fb Iraq\u00ea tay\u00een kir. Ev tay\u00eenkirin dosyay\u00ean Iraq \u00fb S\u00fbriyey\u00ea digih\u00eene qonaxek n\u00fb. Barrack ku li Enqer\u00ea bi berfireh\u00ee xebit\u00ee, erk\u00ean sereke y\u00ean j\u00ear\u00een hene:<\/p>\n -Hilwe\u015fandina YB\u015e li \u015eengal\u00ea \u00fb amadekirina operasyon\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee bejay\u00ee li \u015eengal\u00ea bi hinceta YB\u015e \u00fb He\u015fd\u00ee \u015eab\u00ee<\/p>\n -Taw\u00eekirina He\u015fd\u00ee \u015eeb\u00ee \/ entegrekirina w\u00ea bi Art\u00ea\u015fa Iraq\u00ea re<\/p>\n -Qelskirina t\u00eakiliy\u00ean YNK ya bi \u00ceran\u00ea re<\/p>\n -B\u00eabandorkirina Tevgera Azadiy\u00ea li Iraq\u00ea.<\/p>\n Bi awayek\u00ee berfireh t\u00ea zan\u00een ku Tom Barrack di dema erk\u00ean xwe y\u00ean ber\u00ea de wek\u00ee Balyoz li Tirkiyey\u00ea \u00fb n\u00fbner\u00ea S\u00fbriyey\u00ea bi hevahengiyek n\u00eaz\u00eek bi Tirkiyey\u00ea re xebit\u00ee. Pi\u015ft\u00ee tay\u00eenkirin\u00ea, Tirkiyey\u00ea plan\u00ean xwe y\u00ean ji bo hilwe\u015fandina s\u00eestema federal a li Iraq\u00ea \u00fb guhertina w\u00ea bi modelek “entegrekirin\u00ea” ya navend\u00eetir leztir kir.<\/p>\n STRATEJIYA COT A TIRKIY\u00ca: ZEXT LI S\u00dbRIYEY\u00ca \u00db IRAQ\u00ca<\/strong><\/p>\n Tirkiyey\u00ea, bi r\u00eaya Tom Barrack, zext li ser H\u00eaz\u00ean R\u00eaveberiya Xweser \u00fb QSD li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea kir \u00fb daxwaza entegrekirina wan di Hik\u00fbmeta Demk\u00ee ya S\u00fbriyey\u00ea de kir. Di v\u00ea p\u00eavajoy\u00ea de, Tirkiye di veguherandina maf\u00ean p\u00eakhatey\u00ean li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea bo avahiyek navend\u00ee de qism\u00ee serkeft\u00ee b\u00fb. Ji bo ku destkeftiy\u00ean li Rojava bi tevah\u00ee ji hol\u00ea rake, \u00e7alakiy\u00ean xwe y\u00ean qir\u00eaj li ser erd\u00ea bi r\u00eaya M\u00ceT\u2019\u00ea didom\u00eene. Bi r\u00eaya \u015faney\u00ean ve\u015fart\u00ee y\u00ean ku ava kiriye \u00fb \u00e7etey\u00ean di bin nav\u00ea Art\u00ea\u015fa Ni\u015ft\u00eeman\u00ee S\u00fbriy\u00ea (SMO) zem\u00een\u00ea ji bo \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean n\u00fb amade dike, bi taybet\u00ee li dever\u00ean gundewar\u00ee y\u00ean Koban\u00ea, Hesek\u00ea \u00fb Qam\u00ee\u015floy\u00ea. Bi kurtas\u00ee, mirin\u00ea n\u00ee\u015fan dide da ku wan ne\u00e7ar bike ku nexwe\u015fiya tay\u00ea qeb\u00fbl bikin.<\/p>\n Stratejiyek wisa ji bo Ba\u015f\u00fbr\u00ea Kurdistan\u00ea j\u00ee derbas dibe. Her\u00eama Kurdistana Iraq\u00ea ji Rojava cuda ye ji ber ku statuyek federal a dest\u00fbr\u00ee heye. L\u00eabel\u00ea, aloziy\u00ean li ser t\u00eakiliy\u00ean Bexda-Hewl\u00ear\u00ea, dahat\u00ean petrol\u00ea, bud\u00e7ey\u00ea, ewlehiya s\u00eenor \u00fb t\u00eakiliy\u00ean derve n\u00ee\u015fan didin ku statuya federal j\u00ee ne serbixweye ji zext\u00ean entegrekirina n\u00fb \u00fb vegerandina dewlet\u00ea. Pirsa bingeh\u00een li vir ne veqetandin e, l\u00ea \u00e7awa t\u00eakil\u00ee d\u00ea ji n\u00fb ve were p\u00eanasekirin e. Di her\u00eameke bi v\u00ee reng\u00ee ya bi kr\u00eez\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee de, dewleta Tirk, wek\u00ee her car\u00ea, nasekine \u00fb hewl dide ku qada bandora xwe di nav hevsengiy\u00ean guherbar de berfireh bike.<\/p>\n Ablokasyona abor\u00ee ya dewleta Tirk li Iraq\u00ea bi r\u00eaya Deriy\u00ea S\u00eenor \u00ea \u00cebrah\u00eem Xel\u00eel, stratejiya w\u00ea ya dorp\u00ea\u00e7kirina Ba\u015f\u00fbr\u00ea Kurdistan\u00ea \u00fb hewldan\u00ean w\u00ea y\u00ean ji bo qutkirina “xeta jiyan\u00ea” ya di navbera \u015eengal \u00fb Rojava de ketine qonaxek n\u00fb. Ev pol\u00eet\u00eekay\u00ean qir\u00eaj berdewamiya stratejiya ku di serdema 2021-2022an de wek\u00ee “qutkirina xet\u00ean jiyan\u00ea” t\u00ea binavkirin in.<\/p>\n N\u00eaz\u00eekatiya DYA ya li Iraq\u00ea j\u00ee di heman \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de ye ku senaryoya S\u00fbriyey\u00ea ye. Jihol\u00earakirina h\u00eaman\u00ean \u015e\u00eee y\u00ean ku ji h\u00eala \u00ceran\u00ea ve t\u00eane pi\u015ftgir\u00eekirin bi r\u00eaya gef \u00fb paqijkirin\u00ea; bi taybet\u00ee di dema pev\u00e7\u00fbna \u00ceran-Iraq\u00ea de, hin tax\u00ean li Bexday\u00ea b\u00fbn hedef. Ev kom ku bi \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean li dij\u00ee DYA \u00fb hin welat\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ne, b\u00fbne yek ji fikar\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea y\u00ean her\u00ee gir\u00eeng \u00ean Washington\u00ea li Iraq\u00ea.<\/p>\n Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, bi pejirandina DYA \u00fb desteserkirina serokwez\u00eer\u00ea n\u00fb El\u00ee el-Zeyd\u00ee li Iraq\u00ea, p\u00eavajoyek ji n\u00fb ve avakirina berfireh a di derbar\u00ea avahiya ewlehiy\u00ea ya demdir\u00eaj a wel\u00eat de derketiye p\u00ea\u015f. Bi bandora zext\u00ean Dewlet\u00ean Yekb\u00fby\u00ee y\u00ean Amer\u00eekay\u00ea, bi taybet\u00ee ji bo kontrolkirina kom\u00ean \u00e7ekdar \u00ean n\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee \u00ceran\u00ea, hik\u00fbmeta Bexday\u00ea plan dike ku avahiyek n\u00fb bi nav\u00ea “Wezareta Ewlehiy\u00ea ya Federal” ava bike. Li gor\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fn\u00fbmeya qan\u00fbn\u00ea ya ku niha di amadekirin\u00ea de ye, armanc ew e ku hem\u00ee h\u00eaz\u00ean \u00e7ekdar \u00ean ku li dervey\u00ee art\u00ea\u015fa Iraq\u00ea dixebitin di bin v\u00ea wezareta n\u00fb de werin kom kirin. Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, avahiy\u00ean wek\u00ee H\u00eaz\u00ean Seferberiya Gel (He\u015fd\u00ee \u015eab\u00ee), h\u00eaz\u00ean P\u00ea\u015fmerge y\u00ean Kurd, Pol\u00ees\u00ean Federal \u00fb Be\u015fa Bersiva Bilez d\u00ea di bin yek pergala fermandar\u00ee \u00fb hevr\u00eaziy\u00ea de werin cem hev. Bexday\u00ea dawiya \u00celon\u00ea wek\u00ee roja daw\u00ee ji bo b\u00ea\u00e7ekkirina mil\u00ees\u00ean ku ji h\u00eala \u00ceran\u00ea ve t\u00eane pi\u015ftgir\u00ee kirin destn\u00ee\u015fan kiriye \u00fb v\u00ea yek\u00ea bi dawiya m\u00eesyona hevpeymaniya bi p\u00ea\u015fengiya DYA y\u00ea li Iraq\u00ea ve gir\u00eadide. Berdevk\u00ea Hik\u00fbmet\u00ea Heyder Eb\u00fbd\u00ee roja \u00c7ar\u015fem\u00ea got, “Demek heye ku sedem\u00ean \u00e7ekdarkirina b\u00eakontrol d\u00ea bi daw\u00ee bibin \u00fb ew dawiya \u00celon\u00ea ye ku dawiya heb\u00fbna Hevpeymaniya Navnetewey\u00ee ye.” Li gor\u00ee peymana ku di sala 2024\u2019an de bi Washington\u00ea re hatiye \u00eemzekirin, t\u00ea plankirin ku h\u00eaz\u00ean hevpeymaniy\u00ea di \u00celona 2025\u2019an de ji Iraq\u00ea \u00fb di \u00celona 2026\u2019an de j\u00ee ji her\u00eama Kurdistan\u00ea derkevin.<\/p>\n Du kom\u00ean \u00e7ekdar \u00ean p\u00ea\u015feng, Esay\u00eeb Ehl el-Heq \u00fb Keta\u00eeb \u00cemam El\u00ee, v\u00ea dawiy\u00ea ragihandin ku ew \u00ea \u00e7ek\u00ean xwe radest\u00ee dewlet\u00ea bikin. L\u00eabel\u00ea, kom\u00ean rad\u00eekal \u00ean wek\u00ee Keta\u00eeb Hizbullah \u00fb Heraket Hizbullah el-Nujaba diyar kirin ku heta ku le\u015fker\u00ean biyan\u00ee ne\u00e7in, ew \u00ea \u00e7ek\u00ean xwe daneyinin. Di nav kr\u00eeza berdewam a li Iraq\u00ea \u00fb bandor\u00ean pev\u00e7\u00fbna \u00ceran-\u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea de, Serokwez\u00eer\u00ea Iraq\u00ea El\u00ee el-Ze\u00eed d\u00ea meha b\u00ea ji bo serdana xwe ya ferm\u00ee ya yekem \u00a0bi\u00e7e Washington\u00ea. Armanca serdan\u00ea wek\u00ee “peydakirina pi\u015ftgiriya siyas\u00ee, abor\u00ee \u00fb ewlehiy\u00ea ji bo hik\u00fbmeta n\u00fb” hate destn\u00ee\u015fankirin \u00fb civ\u00een\u00ean asta bilind bi Qesra Sp\u00ee \u00fb Kongrey\u00ea re hatin plankirin.<\/p>\n P\u00caVAJOYA A\u015eT\u00ce \u00db CIVAKA DEMOKRAT\u00ceK \u00db BERTEK\u00caN DEWLET\u00caN HEGEMON\u00ceK <\/strong><\/p>\n P\u00eavajoya A\u015ft\u00ee \u00fb Civaka Demokrat\u00eek ku di sala 2024\u2019an de di bin serokatiya R\u00eaber APO de dest p\u00ea kir, t\u00eako\u015f\u00eena \u00e7ekdar\u00ee veguherand t\u00eako\u015f\u00eena siyas\u00ee \u00fb r\u00ea li ber \u015fer\u00ean mezin girt. Ev p\u00ea\u015fketin ji h\u00eala dewlet\u00ean hegemon\u00eek ve wek\u00ee derbeyek cid\u00ee hate hesibandin.<\/p>\n Ji ber ku destwerdana R\u00eaber APO di siyaseta Rojhilata Nav\u00een de ji h\u00eala h\u00eaz\u00ean hegemon\u00eek ve wek\u00ee gefek hate d\u00eetin, tov\u00ean kujer\u00ea b\u00earehm wek\u00ee Tom Barrack hatin akt\u00eefkirin. Helwesta niha ya DYA li dij\u00ee Man\u00eefestoya R\u00eaber APO ye.<\/p>\n Di demek\u00ea de ku h\u00eaz\u00ean li Rojhilata Nav\u00een hewl dan ku poz\u00eesyon\u00ean xwe li gor\u00ee siyaseta entegrasyon\u00ea ya pergala hegemon\u00eek n\u00fb bikin, Tirkiyey\u00ea, bi karan\u00eena krediya xwe ya hey\u00ee, xuyangek guhertinek qism\u00ee \u00fb takt\u00eek\u00ee da, l\u00ea di bingeh de berdewam kir ku \u00e7i bixwaze bike. Di v\u00ea watey\u00ea de, dema ku li p\u00ea\u015fketin \u00fb rew\u015fa gi\u015ft\u00ee ya li her\u00eam\u00ea t\u00ea nih\u00eartin, bi awayek dijwar\u00ee meriv dib\u00eene ku rola Tirkiyey\u00ea di b\u00fbyer, rastiyan \u00fb guhertinan de ney\u00een\u00eetir b\u00fbye. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, rola Tirkiyey\u00ea di dem\u00ean ku her\u00eam ji n\u00fb ve t\u00ea s\u00eawirandin \u00fb rew\u015fa hey\u00ee t\u00ea pirs\u00een de her tim ney\u00een\u00ee b\u00fbye.<\/p>\n Ger Tirkiye bi israr bi heman away\u00ea ku heta niha kiriye tevbigere, dibe ku hem li hundir \u00fb hem j\u00ee li navnetewey\u00ee bi pirsgir\u00eak\u00ean pir cid\u00ee re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb bim\u00eene. Awantaja her\u00ee mezin a Tirkiyey\u00ea di v\u00ea p\u00eavajoy\u00ea de poz\u00eesyona w\u00ea ya jeopol\u00eet\u00eek \u00fb feydey\u00ean endamtiya NATO\u2019y\u00ea b\u00fbye. L\u00eabel\u00ea, xuya ye ku ev awantaj d\u00ea di p\u00ea\u015feroj\u00ea de heman bandor\u00ea bikin. Di v\u00ea rew\u015f\u00ea de, vebijarka her\u00ee stratej\u00eek \u00fb s\u00fbdmend ji bo Tirkiyey\u00ea \u00e7areseriya demokrat\u00eek a ku ji h\u00eala R\u00eaber Apo ve t\u00ea p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f kirin e. Ger ew bi awayek\u00ee takt\u00eek\u00ee n\u00eaz\u00ee v\u00ea derfeta d\u00eerok\u00ee bibe \u00fb takt\u00eek\u00ean xwe y\u00ean derengxistin\u00ea bidom\u00eene, ew xetera windakirina \u015fans\u00ea \u00e7areseriy\u00ea bi Kurdan re dike. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, r\u00eaya ku Tirkiye hildibij\u00eare \u00fb rola ku ew di v\u00ea p\u00eavajoy\u00ea de dil\u00eeze dikare bi awayek\u00ee er\u00ean\u00ee an ney\u00een\u00ee bandor\u00ea li p\u00ea\u015fketin\u00ean li S\u00fbriye, \u00ceran \u00fb tevahiya her\u00eam\u00ea bike.<\/p>\n Berevaj\u00ee van plan\u00ean berfireh, par\u00e7eb\u00fbna domdar a Kurdan xetera tunekirin\u00ea z\u00eade dike. Ger “Yek\u00eetiya Demokrat\u00eek a Kurd” ku pir caran ji h\u00eala R\u00eaber Apo ve t\u00ea tekez kirin ney\u00ea bidestxistin, senaryoy\u00ean tunekirina siyas\u00ee \u00fb f\u00eez\u00eek\u00ee d\u00ea xurt bibin. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, hem\u00ee al\u00ee li ser v\u00ea meh\u00ea \u00fb p\u00ea\u015fketinan disekinin. Ji ber ku bingeha tunekirina (siyas\u00ee \u00fb f\u00eez\u00eek\u00ee) ya Kurdan ji h\u00eala Tom Barrack ve t\u00ea dan\u00een.<\/p>\n