{"id":4364,"date":"2020-03-15T01:10:27","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:10:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-1\/"},"modified":"2020-03-15T01:10:27","modified_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:10:27","slug":"musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-1\/","title":{"rendered":"MUSUL OPESYONU, G\u00dc\u00c7 DENGELER\u0130 ve SAVA\u015eAN G\u00dc\u00c7LER\u0130N ANAL\u0130Z\u0130-1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>02 Nisan 2016 Cumartesi Saat 10:36<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"detail content_14\" id=\"text_detail\">\n<div class=\"newsImage\">\n<b>24 Mart tarihinde Musul\u2019u DA\u0130\u015e\u2019ten kurtarmak i\u00e7in Maxmur-Geyara hatt\u0131nda \u201cFetih Operasyonu  ad\u0131yla bir operasyon ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. Operasyonun ba\u015flamas\u0131ndaki ama\u00e7, kat\u0131lan g\u00fc\u00e7ler ve hedeflerine bak\u0131p k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcredir taraflar\u0131n ilerleme-gerileme durumlar\u0131 ve kay\u0131plar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan b\u00fcy\u00fck Musul operasyonun ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n-ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/4338-1.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t24 Mart tarihinde Musul\u2019u DA\u0130\u015e\u2019ten kurtarmak i\u00e7in<br \/>\nMaxmur-Geyara hatt\u0131nda \u201cFetih Operasyonu  ad\u0131yla bir operasyon ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. E\u015f<br \/>\nzamanl\u0131 olarak da \u015eengal cephesinden YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7leri de Musul\u2019un bat\u0131 cephesinden<br \/>\noperasyon ba\u015flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Maxmur-Geyara<br \/>\nMusul\u2019un do\u011fusuna d\u00fc\u015fen Musul\u2019a ba\u011fl\u0131 K\u00fcrtler ve Araplar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 geni\u015f bir<br \/>\nco\u011frafyaya sahip alanlard\u0131r. Geyara, Musul kenti DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e teslim edildi\u011finde k\u0131sa<br \/>\nbir s\u00fcre sonra DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in kontrol\u00fcne ge\u00e7en Arap halk\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir yerle\u015fim<br \/>\nyeridir. Maxmur, Saddam rejimi d\u00f6neminde Arapla\u015ft\u0131rma politikas\u0131 d\u00e2hilinde<br \/>\nArapla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmak istenen bir yerle\u015fimdir. Saddam rejimi devrildikten sonra Arap<br \/>\nve K\u00fcrt n\u00fcfusu Maxmur\u2019da dengelendi, hatta sonralar\u0131 K\u00fcrt n\u00fcfusu \u00e7o\u011funluk<br \/>\nhaline geldi. 2014 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lan DA\u0130\u015e sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra Maxmur\u2019a<br \/>\ngeri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fler ba\u015flay\u0131nca daha \u00f6nce orada ikamet eden Arap ailelerden kimse<br \/>\nd\u00f6nmedi. Bir k\u0131sm\u0131 KDP\u2019nin denetiminde olan ba\u015fka alanlara ge\u00e7erken, k\u00f6ylerde<br \/>\nya\u015fayan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kesimi DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Maxmur alan\u0131 Irak anayasas\u0131n\u0131n 140. Maddesi gere\u011fi stat\u00fcs\u00fc<br \/>\nbelirlenemeyen K\u00fcrdistan topraklar\u0131ndan bir par\u00e7ad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u0130dari ve askeri olarak KDP\u2019nin denetiminde bulunsa da,<br \/>\nhalk\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu YNK\u2019yi desteklemektedir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Ba\u015fur\u00ea K\u00fcrdistan ve Irak s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in konum<br \/>\nitibariyle stratejik bir \u00f6neme sahiptir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Maxmur\u2019a ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir alan hala DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in denetiminde<br \/>\nbulunmaktad\u0131r. KDP\u2019nin K\u00fcrdistan topraklar\u0131n\u0131 DA\u0130\u015e\u2019ten temizleyece\u011fiz<br \/>\npropagandalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bu alan\u0131n kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in her hangi bir \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n<br \/>\nolmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortadad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">En son Irak askerlerinin \u015eubat ay\u0131ndan itibaren b\u00f6lgeye<br \/>\ngelmesi ve ABD\u2019liler taraf\u0131ndan uzun zamand\u0131r e\u011fitilen Ha\u015fdi Watani g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle<br \/>\nberaber Koalisyon u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve deste\u011fiyle bir operasyon ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131.<br \/>\nMusul\u2019un do\u011fusunda belirtilen g\u00fc\u00e7ler operasyona kat\u0131l\u0131rken, bat\u0131 cephesinde de<br \/>\nYB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan 1600 ki\u015filik bir askeri g\u00fc\u00e7le b\u00fcy\u00fck ve etkili bir<br \/>\noperasyon ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. Operasyon ba\u015flad\u0131ktan d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn sonra k\u00f6t\u00fc hava ko\u015fullar\u0131<br \/>\ngerek\u00e7e g\u00f6sterilerek durduruldu. 4 g\u00fcnl\u00fck operasyonda YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7leri bat\u0131<br \/>\ncephesinde \u00f6n\u00fcne hedef koydu\u011fu alanlar\u0131 \u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015ftirirken, Irak ordusunun do\u011fu<br \/>\ncephesinde ki operasyonu pekte i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 olmayan sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furdu.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyonun ba\u015flamas\u0131ndaki ama\u00e7, kat\u0131lan g\u00fc\u00e7ler ve<br \/>\nhedeflerine bak\u0131p k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcredir taraflar\u0131n ilerleme-gerileme durumlar\u0131 ve<br \/>\nkay\u0131plar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan b\u00fcy\u00fck Musul operasyonun<br \/>\nba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n-ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Ba\u015flat\u0131lan<br \/>\nOperasyonun Hedefi ve \u0130lerleme Durumu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Uzun s\u00fcredir Musul operasyonunun ne zaman ba\u015flat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 ve<br \/>\nkimlerin kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fma konusudur. Musul\u2019un petrol rezervlerinin<br \/>\nzenginli\u011fi ve kozmopolit yap\u0131s\u0131 Musul sava\u015f\u0131nda ve sonras\u0131nda olu\u015fturulacak<br \/>\nolan y\u00f6netimde kimlerin yer alaca\u011f\u0131 konular\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar ortaya<br \/>\n\u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 24 Martta ba\u015flat\u0131lan \u201cFetih Operasyonu  her ne kadar Musul\u2019u<br \/>\nkurtarmaya y\u00f6nelik bir operasyon olarak de\u011ferlendirilse de, sahada sava\u015fan ve<br \/>\ncephe gerisinde operasyonun gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 izleyen g\u00fc\u00e7ler de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde<br \/>\npekte ciddi bir operasyon olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. Sadece Musul\u2019un bat\u0131<br \/>\ncephesinde YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 operasyonda ilerleme kaydedilip, ileride<br \/>\nyap\u0131lacak olan operasyona d\u00e2hil umut vaat etse de di\u011fer cephelerde ki durum<br \/>\nhi\u00e7te i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan Musul operasyonunun 2 a\u015famal\u0131 olarak<br \/>\nyap\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Birinci a\u015famada, Irak\u2019ta bulunan b\u00fct\u00fcn askeri g\u00fc\u00e7lerin<br \/>\nbir \u015fekilde operasyona kat\u0131lmas\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken (nihai bir karara var\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\ni\u00e7in hala tart\u0131\u015fma konusudur), 2. a\u015fama da Musul\u2019un demografik yap\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne<br \/>\nal\u0131narak kimlerin kat\u0131labilece\u011fi \u00fczerine tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Yap\u0131lan tart\u0131\u015fmalar<br \/>\ndemografik yap\u0131 \u00fczerine kamuoyuna sunulsa da as\u0131l tart\u0131\u015fma konusunun Musul\u2019a<br \/>\nkimin, kimlerin h\u00e2kim olaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Nihai kararlar\u0131n Irak Merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti<br \/>\ntaraf\u0131ndan verilece\u011fi dile getirilse de as\u0131l hedefi belirleyen ve kimlerin<br \/>\nkat\u0131labilece\u011finde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak karar veren ABD\u2019dir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u00dczerinde tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan Musul operasyonunun 1. a\u015famas\u0131 olarak<br \/>\nde\u011ferlendirilen a\u015fama Musul merkezi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan il\u00e7e ve k\u00f6ylerin<br \/>\ntemizlenmesidir. Bu alan \u00f6yle k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsenecek derecede bir alan de\u011fildir.<br \/>\n\u0130\u00e7erisinde Tel Afer\u2019den tutal\u0131m, Kerk\u00fck\u2019e ba\u011fl\u0131 Hewice il\u00e7esine kadar olan<br \/>\nb\u00f6lgeleri kaps\u0131yor. Bu alanlar\u0131n i\u00e7erisinde DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in petrol merkezlerinden olan<br \/>\nBeyci ve \u015e\u0131rgat da var. Planlamaya g\u00f6re, \u00e7evre temizli\u011finde Irak ordusu,<br \/>\nPe\u015fmerge g\u00fc\u00e7leri, YB\u015e kuvvetleri, Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi, Ha\u015fdi Watani kat\u0131lacak. Bunlara<br \/>\ndestek olarak da Koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerine ba\u011fl\u0131 sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 operasyona destek<br \/>\nverecek. E\u011fer operasyonun 1. A\u015famas\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015f\u0131rsa 2. a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ilecek.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Nihayetinde operasyonun 1. a\u015famas\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. Irak<br \/>\naskerleri ve S\u00fcnni Ha\u015fdi Watani g\u00fc\u00e7leri Musul\u2019un do\u011fu cephesi olan Maxmur<br \/>\ncephesinden 5 bin civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir askeri g\u00fc\u00e7le operasyon ba\u015flatt\u0131lar. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyonun ilk iki g\u00fcn\u00fcnde yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalara g\u00f6re 6 k\u00f6y\u00fc<br \/>\nDA\u0130\u015e \u00e7etelerinden temizleyen g\u00fc\u00e7ler, Nasr k\u00f6y\u00fcne ula\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra t\u0131kanma<br \/>\nba\u015flad\u0131. Operasyon ba\u015flamadan bir hafta \u00f6ncesinde sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 b\u00f6lgeyi yo\u011fun<br \/>\nbir \u015fekilde bombalad\u0131. Sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n yo\u011fun bombard\u0131man\u0131 ve 5 bin civar\u0131nda<br \/>\naskeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na ra\u011fmen DA\u0130\u015e \u00e7eteleri bu cephede b\u00fcy\u00fck bir diren\u00e7<br \/>\ng\u00f6steriyor. DA\u0130\u015e Musul\u2019un her cephesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck haz\u0131rl\u0131klar yapm\u0131\u015f durumda. Yer<br \/>\nalt\u0131 mevzileri ve may\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f arazisiyle sald\u0131r\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 koyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden<br \/>\ng\u00f6stermi\u015f durumda. Operasyonun ilerleyememesinin illaki DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in g\u00fcc\u00fc ve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\nb\u00fcy\u00fck haz\u0131rl\u0131klar de\u011fil. Irak ordusunun b\u00f6yle bir sava\u015f\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fcr\u00fctecek<br \/>\ng\u00fcc\u00fc ve deneyimi yok. \u0130ki y\u0131ld\u0131r Irak\u2019ta ya\u015fanan sava\u015f en az\u0131ndan bunu<br \/>\ng\u00f6sterdi. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyonlar\u0131n ilerleyemeyi\u015finin b\u00fcy\u00fck nedeninin DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in<br \/>\nhaz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 ve sava\u015f kanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek i\u00e7in Bat\u0131 cephesine bakmakta<br \/>\nfayda var. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Musul\u2019un bat\u0131 cephesin de YB\u015e-HPG-YJA STAR g\u00fc\u00e7leri ile<br \/>\nPe\u015fmerge g\u00fc\u00e7leri bulunmaktad\u0131r. Pe\u015fmerge g\u00fc\u00e7leri daha operasyona d\u00e2hil olmu\u015f<br \/>\nde\u011filler. YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ba\u015flatt\u0131klar\u0131 operasyonda 20 km uzunlu\u011funda 10 km<br \/>\ngeni\u015fli\u011finde i\u00e7erisinde stratejik b\u00f6lge ve k\u00f6ylerin bulundu\u011fu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir alan<br \/>\n\u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015ftirildi. Y\u00fczlerce \u00e7ete \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc bu operasyonda.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yap\u0131lan operasyon Do\u011fu cephesinde \u015fimdiden t\u0131kanm\u0131\u015f<br \/>\ndurumdad\u0131r. Birka\u00e7 k\u00f6yl\u00fck bir ilerlemede b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar veren Irak ordusu<br \/>\noperasyonun ileri a\u015famas\u0131nda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011fa benziyor.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\n<p>  0<\/p>\n<p>  21<\/p>\n<p>  TR<\/p>\n<p>\t  :&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t :&#8221;&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t &#8221; &#8220;,&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t :&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p><strong>Aram Serhat<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik<br \/>\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>www.lekolin.com &#8211;<br \/>\nwww.lekolin.org &#8211; www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info &#8211; www.navendalekolin.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- parveke begin --><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\"><\/div>\n<p><!-- parveke END -->\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>24 Mart tarihinde Musul\u2019u DA\u0130\u015e\u2019ten kurtarmak i\u00e7in Maxmur-Geyara hatt\u0131nda \u201cFetih Operasyonu  ad\u0131yla bir operasyon ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. Operasyonun ba\u015flamas\u0131ndaki ama\u00e7, kat\u0131lan g\u00fc\u00e7ler ve hedeflerine bak\u0131p k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcredir taraflar\u0131n ilerleme-gerileme durumlar\u0131 ve kay\u0131plar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan b\u00fcy\u00fck Musul operasyonun ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n-ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[703,32,540,701,675,31,36,33,30,295,700,702,35,34,80],"class_list":["post-4364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz","tag-analizi-1","tag-arastirma","tag-dengeleri","tag-guc","tag-guclerin","tag-kurdi","tag-kurdish","tag-kurdistan","tag-lekolin","tag-musul","tag-opesyonu","tag-savasan","tag-turkish","tag-turkiye","tag-ve"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4364"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4364\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4365"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}