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Rusya\u2019da yay\u0131n yapan savunma dergisi Vayennoye Obozreniye, \u0130ran \u0130le K\u00fcrtler aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n b\u00f6lgede b\u00fcy\u00fck sava\u015flara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini yazd\u0131. \u201c\u0130ran-K\u00fcrt \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 hangi sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7ar ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131da Ortado\u011fu’da yeni bir sava\u015f d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
Aleksandr Samsonov\u2019un kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizde Ortado\u011fu’da yeni bir sava\u015f d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilerek, \u0130ran ile K\u00fcrtler aras\u0131nda ya\u015fan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 irdeledi.<\/p>\n
\u2018\u2019\u0130ran- Irak s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 ile K\u00fcrtler aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. E\u011fer ABD ordusu Iraktan \u00e7ekilirse bu iki taraf\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 daha da derinle\u015febilir\u2019\u2019 diyen Samsonov, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ayn\u0131 zamanda Irak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7inde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Aleksandr Samsonov\u2019un analizi \u015f\u00f6yle: \u2018\u2019T\u00fcm bunlar s\u00fcrecin belirsizlikleridir. Bu Irak\u2019ta bir halk sava\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesine, T\u00fcrk ordusunun yeniden bu b\u00f6lgeye giri\u015fine veya \u0130ran-Irak sava\u015f\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. (Ki Irak son y\u0131llarda ABD\u2019den yeni askeri teknolojiler ald\u0131 bu belli bir haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor.)<\/p>\n
Baz\u0131 g\u00f6zlemciler bu gibi olaylar\u0131n uzakta cereyan etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir, ama yan\u0131l\u0131yorlar K\u00fcrt problemi kendi i\u00e7inde muazzam bir g\u00fc\u00e7 kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor ki bu \u0130srail probleminden daha az de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu problem b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6lgede (T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130ran, Irak, Suriye) patlatmaya yol a\u00e7abilecek d\u00fczeydedir. Zaten Irak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n enerji rezervleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyada 6. s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 unutmamal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcrtler zapt edilemeyen insanlard\u0131r ve bu Ortado\u011fu\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7ler (Persler ve Osmanl\u0131 imparatorlu\u011fu) i\u00e7in her zaman rahats\u0131zl\u0131k kayna\u011f\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Pers \u00e7arlar\u0131ndan Arap halifelerine ve Osmanl\u0131 sultanlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 kendi \u00f6z asaletlerini korumay\u0131 ba\u015farm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Birinci d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131ndan sonra Britanya imparatorlu\u011fu ve Fransa yeni Ortado\u011fu haritas\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerken kendilerine g\u00f6re suni devletler kurdular. Fakat K\u00fcrtlere hi\u00e7bir \u015fey verilmedi. Oysa n\u00fcfus olarak K\u00fcrtler Arap, T\u00fcrk ve Perslerden daha az de\u011filler\u2026 K\u00fcrtler b\u00fct\u00fcn devletlerde ikinci s\u0131n\u0131f say\u0131l\u0131rlard\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye de ise halk olarak bile g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyorlar. <\/p>\n
Amerika\u2019n\u0131n K\u00fcrt sorunu konusunda ikili oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Rus uzman, \u2018\u2019Bir taraftan T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerini bozmak istemiyor di\u011fer yand\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131klar\u0131 kullan\u0131yor. \u0130ran ve Suriye\u2019deki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan yararlan\u0131p dize getirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de yerine oturtuyor. K\u00fcrtler ve liderleri Arap \u00fclkelerindeki devrimleri Suriye ve \u0130ran \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcp bundan yararlanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin son zamanlarda haklar\u0131 i\u00e7in muazzam eylemler yap\u0131yorlar. \u00d6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye ve Irakta ya\u015fananlar K\u00fcrt yurtseverlerini yeniden kendi devletlerini kurma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesine g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcyor diye yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n
PJAK TEOKRAT\u0130K S\u0130STEM\u0130 DEMOKRAT\u0130KLE\u015eT\u0130RMEK \u0130ST\u0130YOR<\/p>\n
K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcr Ya\u015fam Partisi (PJAK)\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zerk y\u00e2da ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z de\u011fil daha \u00e7ok otonom bir b\u00f6lge yaratmak istedi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekilen analizde yazar \u015fu saptamalar\u0131 yap\u0131yor: \u2018\u2019PJAK\u2019\u0131n program\u0131nda bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin kad\u0131n haklar\u0131n\u0131, dini ve etnik az\u0131nl\u0131klar i\u00e7in demokratik haklar\u0131 savunuyor yani teokratik rejimi demokratik bir rejime d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek istiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu organizasyon \u0130ran\u2019da ter\u00f6rist olarak nitelendirilip yasaklanm\u0131\u015f. Bu y\u00fczden PJAK i\u00e7in tek yol kal\u0131yor o da askeri yollarla m\u00fccadele etmek. Tahran ise bir yandan asker ve polislerle i\u00e7erde bir yandan devrim muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 ge\u00e7erek PJAK ile sava\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle devrim muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131n\u0131n komutan\u0131 General Abbas Kasimi\u2019nin Kum \u015fehrinde K\u00fcrt sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden sonra. Al\u0131nan bilgilere g\u00f6re onunla birlikte iki \u00fcst d\u00fczey olmak \u00fczere 8 y\u00fcksek r\u00fctbeli komutan \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Bunlar\u0131n i\u00e7inde ayn\u0131 zamanda Zerde\u015ft ve Piran\u015far askeri kamplar\u0131n\u0131n komutan\u0131 Delaver Ranjbalzade ve Do\u011fu cephesi \u00f6zel timleri komutan\u0131 Haci A\u011fa Ma\u011frufi de yer al\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Ya\u015fanan operasyonlar hakk\u0131nda elimizde net bilgiler yok ancak her iki tarafta kendi ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131ndan s\u00f6z ediyorlar. Fakat anla\u015f\u0131lan \u015fu ki her iki taraf i\u00e7in de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ba\u015far\u0131dan s\u00f6z edilemez. Yine Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 sald\u0131ranlara kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelelerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Ama \u015fu da a\u00e7\u0131k ki K\u00fcrtler susmayacakt\u0131r. Yine Ba\u011fdat \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulunarak askerlerinizi \u00e7ekin Saddam H\u00fcseyin d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6nmeyelim diyerek tehditte bulundu. Irak\u2019\u0131n durumu b\u00f6yle bir sava\u015fa el vermez ama Irak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n askeri g\u00fc\u00e7leri sava\u015fa d\u00e2hil olabilir ki orda 100 bin asker (pe\u015fmerge) var. E\u011fer b\u00f6yle olursa b\u00f6lgede b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f patlak verebilir.<\/p>\n
Ortado\u011fu\u2019da K\u00fcrtler i\u00e7in \u015fu anki durumlar \u00e7ok kritik. \u0130ran askeri g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle sald\u0131r\u0131yor, Ankara ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir K\u00fcrt devletinin do\u011fmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca ABD ordusunu \u00e7ekiyor ki bu da Kerk\u00fck i\u00e7in bir d\u00f6neme\u00e7tir. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse Arap, T\u00fcrkmen ve K\u00fcrtler aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flayabilir. BM\u2019nin bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc yerle\u015ftirmesini m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ama bunun i\u00e7in somut bir \u015fey yok. \u00d6nemli bir nokta daha var ki o da Washington\u2019un son g\u00fcnlerde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 El kaide ile ili\u015fkide olmakla su\u00e7luyor.\u2019\u2019-ANF<\/p>\n
K\u00fcrdistan Lezgiyeva\/Moskova<\/p>\n
K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/p>\n
www.navendalekolin.com – www.lekolin.org – www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n
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