\t\t\t\t\t\t\t ![](\"http:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/5523-1.jpg\")
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n
TC H\u00fck\u00fcmeti Ortado\u011fu\u2019da siyasetine \u00f6nc\u00fc olma emelleri ile son
\n5 y\u0131lda Suriye i\u00e7 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na m\u00fcdahil olmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Esad kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131
\npolitikalar ile i\u015fe koyulan Erdo\u011fan her yeni geli\u015fme ve ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k ile
\npolitikas\u0131n\u0131 tutars\u0131zl\u0131k i\u00e7erisinde yeniledi. Genel Ortado\u011fu siyasetindeki
\nemellerine K\u00fcrt d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ilikleyip tek elden kurtulmak istedi. Zamanla
\n\u2018en az\u0131ndan\u2019 K\u00fcrtlere engel olmak temel politikas\u0131 haline geldi. \u0130\u00e7eride
\nmilliyet\u00e7i damara ve seferberlik halinin devam\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyan TC H\u00fck\u00fcmeti
\nd\u0131\u015far\u0131da da Koalisyon ve Rusya aras\u0131ndaki gerilimden yararland\u0131. Cenevre\u2019den
\nAstana\u2019ya kayan bu politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve \u00d6SO benzeri ta\u015feron \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin YPG
\nkar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile i\u015f ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Saf\u0131n\u0131 ve niyetini keskinle\u015ftirip
\nkendi ordusuyla Afrin\u2019e sald\u0131rmaya karar verdi. <\/p>\n
F\u0131rat Kalkan\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n Koalisyonun Esad kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 politikalar\u0131na kenetlenen TC Qere\u00e7ox Denemesi<\/strong><\/p>\n Sahada g\u00fcvenilir bir partner olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren TC Ordusu Astana kararla\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n Y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019a d\u00f6nen TC Akkuyu n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmas\u0131na D\u00ear ez Zor \u00c7ak\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n Deyr ez-Zor \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r DA\u0130\u015e ku\u015fatmas\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015f Rejimin Anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere hem b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin hem de yereldeki F\u0131rsat bu f\u0131rsat Afrin!<\/strong><\/p>\n T\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7lerin Deyr ez-Zor\u2019da \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fan \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan Son Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k<\/strong><\/p>\n TC\u2019nin ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n hem i\u00e7 siyasette hem d\u0131\u015f Berken Sipan<\/strong><\/p>\n K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n www.lekolin.com – www.lekolin.org – www.lekolin.net \u2013 \u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t<\/p>\n
\nH\u00fck\u00fcmeti Suriye egemenli\u011fini ihlal edip Cerablus \u00fczerinden F\u0131rat boyunca bir
\nkalkan olu\u015fturmak istedi. B\u00f6ylece K\u00fcrt kantonlar\u0131n\u0131n birle\u015fmesini engelleyecek
\nM\u0131nbi\u00e7 ve Bab gibi stratejik \u00fcslere hakim olacakt\u0131. Zorlukla \u00f6rg\u00fctleyip bir
\narada tuttu\u011fu ve i\u00e7ine kendi askerlerini de koydu\u011fu \u00d6SO \u00e7eteleri DA\u0130\u015e
\nkar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hezimete u\u011frad\u0131. QSD kontrol\u00fcndeki b\u00f6lgelere y\u00f6nelmek istediyse de
\nhem DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in bask\u0131s\u0131 hem de Amerika ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n araya girmesi ile ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z
\noldu. Raqqa operasyonuna talip oldu ancak sahada ki askeri g\u00fcvenirlili\u011fini
\n\u00e7oktan yitirmi\u015fti. Trump sonras\u0131nda QSD\u2019ye verilen a\u00e7\u0131k destek artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve
\n\u00d6zel kuvvetlerin ard\u0131ndan Denizci birliklerin Raqqa operasyonu i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgeye
\ng\u00f6nderilmesi kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylelikle hava g\u00fcc\u00fc ve mobil sald\u0131r\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn
\nyan\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131r z\u0131rhl\u0131 deste\u011fini de bulan Raqqa sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. \u2018F\u0131rat
\nKalkan\u0131\u2019 QSD\u2019nin durmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi Suriye topraklar\u0131nda TC Ordusunun
\nme\u015fruiyetini destekleyecek koalisyon deste\u011fini de ula\u015famad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\nABD\u2019den ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu fiili reddin ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 biraz daha a\u015farak\u00a0 <\/span>KDP\u2019nin istihbarat deste\u011fi ile Qere\u00e7ox ve
\n\u015eengale hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenledi. ABD\u2019ye neler yapabilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermek istedi.
\nUluslararas\u0131n\u0131 \u015eengal konusunda yoklad\u0131. <\/p>\n
\nve S-400 hava savunma sisteminin al\u0131m\u0131na imza att\u0131. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131yla Esad
\nkar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 politikas\u0131n\u0131 terk ederek Astana g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde Muhaliflerin garant\u00f6r\u00fc
\noldu. Uzla\u015fman\u0131n sonucunda Halep\u2019e yeniden hakim olan Rejim g\u00fc\u00e7leri ile ABD
\naras\u0131ndaki kimyasal silah gerginli\u011fi ba\u015flad\u0131. Kendisini art\u0131k Rusya-\u0130ran-Suriye
\nyan\u0131nda bulan TC\u2019nin K\u00fcrt kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 m\u00fcdahale taleplerine kar\u015f\u0131 Rusya pragmatist
\nve erteleyici bir tutum tak\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\ndar alana s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u015fehir. Lojistik deste\u011fini havadan sa\u011flayan \u015fehirde 250
\nbin sivil ya\u015f\u0131yor. Iraq ve\u00a0 <\/span>Suriye
\naras\u0131nda k\u00f6pr\u00fc g\u00f6revi g\u00f6ren bu \u015fehir mevcut ve olas\u0131 enerji hatlar\u0131yla
\n\u00f6zellikle \u015eii Hilali\u2019ni arzulayan \u015eii g\u00fc\u00e7ler i\u00e7in stratejik \u00f6neme sahip. \u00d6te
\nyandan Raqqa operasyonundan sonra DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in son darbeyi alaca\u011f\u0131 yer olarak
\nd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek gerekir. Suriye\u2019nin bat\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fan rejim g\u00fc\u00e7leri ve Rusya DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in
\nDeyr ez-Zor\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan g\u00fcc\u00fc son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131lda g\u00f6nderemedi.
\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131zl\u0131k b\u00f6lgelerinin ilan\u0131 ile Bat\u0131 da durgunlu\u011fu yakalamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan
\nRusya-Rejim g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin birincil \u00f6nceli\u011fi art\u0131k Deyr ez-Zor. On bin ki\u015filik
\ndo\u011frudan Rusya koordinasyonunda kurulan 5. T\u00fcmen buras\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Ayn\u0131
\nzamanda ABD\u2019de Suriye-Iraq s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na olan ilgisini artt\u0131rd\u0131 ve Deyr ez-Zor\u2019u
\n\u00f6nceli\u011fine ald\u0131. Suriye-Iraq s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na \u00f6zel kuvvetlerini yerle\u015ftirdi ve muhalif
\ng\u00fc\u00e7leri g\u00fcneyden yak\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ancak Rusya hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ile buna
\nengel oldu. Iraq taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131ra dayanan Ha\u015fdi \u015eaabi \u015eii g\u00fc\u00e7leri ise Iraq
\ny\u00f6netimine bask\u0131 uygulayarak Suriye taraf\u0131na ta\u015fmak istemektedir. <\/p>\n
\ng\u00fc\u00e7lerin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 nota Deyr ez-Zor\u2019dur. Bu ger\u00e7eklikte Raqqa\u2019dan
\nsonra Deyr ez-Zor\u2019a ilerleyece\u011fini duyuran QSD \u015fehirdeki ku\u015fatmay\u0131 kald\u0131rmakta
\nen umut verici g\u00fc\u00e7. Rusya QSD\u2019nin ilerleyi\u015finin art\u0131k durdurulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine
\ninan\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Deyr ez-Zor \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rojava
\n\u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te birle\u015fiyor. Rusya a\u00e7\u0131k tehdidini sunarak Afrine
\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019den bir sald\u0131r\u0131 olursa buna g\u00f6z yumaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. <\/p>\n
\n\u00e7eli\u015fkiden nemalanan TC kendi dar K\u00fcrt kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 siyaseti ile yeni bir hamleye
\nkalk\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu sefer sahadaki \u00e7etelerinin eliyle de\u011fil kendi \u00e7eteleri ile
\ngelecek. Kendi s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131ndan a\u011f\u0131r top at\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racak, Azez-Mare
\nhatt\u0131nda ve Idlibte karadan sald\u0131racak. Zaman\u0131nda el-Bab\u2019a giderken s\u00f6yledi\u011fi
\nb\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00f6zlerin benzerlerini duymaya ba\u015flad\u0131k. Zar zor bir arada tuttu\u011fu \u00d6SO
\n\u00e7etelerinden kopu\u015flar devam ediyor ve TC Ordusu i\u00e7indeki emir komuta zinciri 15
\nTemmuz sonras\u0131 bir hayli g\u00fcvensiz. Afrin\u2019i savunacak olan QSD\u2019nin Deyr ez-Zor\u2019a
\nplanlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yo\u011funla\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00f6steremeyece\u011fi do\u011frudur ve belki de Rusya bu sava\u015ftan
\nmemnun \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. Ancak QSD TC \u00e7etelerini bu sefer do\u011frudan, kendi
\ntopraklar\u0131n\u0131 savunman\u0131n me\u015fruiyeti ile hezimete u\u011fratman\u0131n tarihi f\u0131rsat\u0131na eri\u015fecek.<\/p>\n
\nsiyasette derin kay\u0131plar\u0131 olacak. \u0130\u00e7eride seferberlik halinin devam\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131
\nvar \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc OHAL\u2019in devam etmesi bu milliyet\u00e7i tabandaki refleksin
\ns\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n ve OHAL\u2019in devam\u0131 ile i\u00e7eride y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc
\nsoyk\u0131r\u0131m ve hukuksuzluklar\u0131 \u00f6rtbas etmek istiyor. Ancak ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 yenilgi ile
\nme\u015fruiyeti ciddi anlamda sars\u0131lacak ve bir \u00e7ok sorgulamay\u0131 beraberinde
\ngetirecek. El-Bab\u2019\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6rtbas eden medya Afrin\u2019in sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131
\nsaklayamayacak. D\u0131\u015f siyasette ise TC nas\u0131l ki zaman\u0131nda sahada askeri partner
\nolamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ABD\u2019ye g\u00f6sterdiyse, \u015fimdide zaman\u0131 geldi\u011finde kullan\u0131labilecek
\nbir koz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Rusya\u2019ya g\u00f6sterecek. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7izgi olan QSD\u2019nin darbesiyle
\ndaha da itibars\u0131zla\u015facak ve tamimiyle kendi i\u00e7 meselelerine d\u00f6nmek zorunda
\nkalacak.<\/p>\n
\nwww.lekolin.info -www.navendalekolin.com -http:\/\/kursam.org\/index.html- http:\/\/kursam.net\/index.html<\/strong><\/p>\n