{"id":9760,"date":"2020-03-15T02:49:52","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T23:49:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/dohadan-ortadogu-ve-amerikaya-bakmak\/"},"modified":"2020-05-05T13:23:36","modified_gmt":"2020-05-05T11:23:36","slug":"dohadan-ortadogu-ve-amerikaya-bakmak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/dohadan-ortadogu-ve-amerikaya-bakmak\/","title":{"rendered":"Doha&#8217;dan Ortado\u011fu ve Amerika&#8217;ya bakmak&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>04 Haziran 2015 Per\u015fembe Saat 02:21<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"detail content_14\" id=\"text_detail\">\n<div class=\"newsImage\">\n<b>Obama y\u00f6netiminin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin dillendirdi\u011fi gibi bir &#8216;demokrasi ihrac\u0131&#8217; politikas\u0131 yok. Tam aksine Obama, Washington&#8217;da, stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar u\u011fruna bu \u00fclkelerin demokrasi ihlallerine g\u00f6z yummakla su\u00e7lan\u0131yor. K\u0131sacas\u0131 Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefikleriyle aras\u0131ndaki makas gittik\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/3897-1.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWashington\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan Brookings\u2019in<br \/>\nKatar\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Doha\u2019da d\u00fczenledi\u011fi Amerika-\u0130slam D\u00fcnyas\u0131 Diyalog<br \/>\nForumu\u2019nday\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Forum, 11 Eyl\u00fcl sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Amerika ve b\u00f6lge<br \/>\n\u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda bir diyalog kanal\u0131 a\u00e7mak amac\u0131yla d\u00fczenlenmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>\u0130lk toplant\u0131 Katar<br \/>\ndevletinin de finansal deste\u011fiyle 2004 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Bu y\u0131l on ikincisi d\u00fczenlenen foruma Katar Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 \u015eeyh<br \/>\nAbdullah bin Nasser Al Thani, Afganistan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Ashraf Ghani, Amerikan<br \/>\nBa\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Colin Kahl ve ABD<br \/>\nBa\u015fkan\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n I\u015e\u0130D&#8217;le M\u00fccadele K\u00fcresel Koalisyon \u00d6zel Temsilcisi Org. John Allen<br \/>\ngibi isimler kat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Forumun temas\u0131 b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Ortado\u011fu<br \/>\npolitikas\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l okudu\u011fu.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Toplant\u0131da yap\u0131lan<br \/>\ntart\u0131\u015fmalardan ilgin\u00e7 ve endi\u015fe verici bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefikleri derin bir kayg\u0131<br \/>\ni\u00e7erisinde.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n h\u0131zla etki alan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletti\u011fi, \u00f6zellikle K\u00f6rfez<br \/>\n\u00fclkelerine kar\u015f\u0131 askeri bir tehdit olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ve Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u0131rak\u0131n<br \/>\nm\u00fcttefiklerine yard\u0131m etmeyi, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in ad\u0131mlar att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve<br \/>\nb\u00f6lgeden h\u0131zla \u00e7ekildi\u011fi alg\u0131s\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Bu alg\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ger\u00e7ekleri yans\u0131tm\u0131yor ve b\u00f6lge g\u00fcvenli\u011fi<br \/>\na\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan endi\u015fe verici sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">B\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin b\u00f6lgeyi ve Amerika\u2019y\u0131 nas\u0131l g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne daha<br \/>\nyak\u0131ndan bakal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki<br \/>\nm\u00fcttefiklerinin \u00fc\u00e7 temel kayg\u0131s\u0131 var.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Birincisi Amerika\u2019n\u0131n<br \/>\nb\u00f6lgeden stratejik olarak geri \u00e7ekilmesi.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">B\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri Obama\u2019n\u0131n tam olarak bu nedenle ba\u015fkan<br \/>\nse\u00e7ildi\u011fini, Amerikan d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Ortado\u011fu\u2019dan Asya\u2019ya kayd\u0131rmak<br \/>\nistedi\u011fini, bu nedenle b\u00f6lgeyle angajman\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla kesti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Ayr\u0131ca Amerika\u2019n\u0131n kaya gaz\u0131 devrimi sayesinde k\u0131sa s\u00fcre<br \/>\ni\u00e7inde Ortado\u011fu petrol\u00fcne ihtiya\u00e7 duymayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu nedenle Ortado\u011fu\u2019dan<br \/>\n\u00e7ekili\u015finin daha da h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>B\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin<br \/>\nikinci kayg\u0131s\u0131 Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u0130ran ile ili\u015fkisi.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u0130ran ile var\u0131lan n\u00fckleer uzla\u015f\u0131n\u0131n asl\u0131nda Washington ve<br \/>\nTahran aras\u0131ndaki uzun soluklu stratejik ili\u015fkinin ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 oldu\u011funu<br \/>\nd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki ilerleyi\u015fini durduran Saddam<br \/>\nrejimini devirerek, Irak\u2019\u0131 bilerek \u0130ran\u2019a teslim etti\u011fine inan\u0131yorlar. M\u00fcbarek<br \/>\nve Kaddafi gibi S\u00fcnni rejimleri devirip, Esad\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m atmak istemeyi\u015fini<br \/>\nde bu stratejinin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Son olarak b\u00f6lgedeki<br \/>\nrejimler, Obama\u2019n\u0131n kendi \u00fclkelerinde demokratik reformlar\u0131 destekleyerek<\/strong> <strong>rejimlerinin alt\u0131n\u0131 oymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na<br \/>\ninan\u0131yorlar.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Oysa tarafs\u0131z bir analiz ger\u00e7e\u011fin bundan farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funa<br \/>\ni\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimi sayesinde Amerika\u2019n\u0131n 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar<br \/>\nOrtado\u011fu\u2019dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol\u00fc yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fi, 2030\u2019da ise Ortado\u011fu petrol\u00fcne<br \/>\nihtiyac\u0131 kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Obama\u2019n\u0131n \u2018Amerika\u2019y\u0131 Irak ve Afganistan\u2019dan \u00e7ekece\u011fim\u2019<br \/>\ndiyerek se\u00e7ildi\u011fi de do\u011fru.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika\u2019n\u0131n askeri ve diplomatik enerjisini Ortado\u011fu\u2019dan<br \/>\nAsya\u2019ya kayd\u0131rmak istedi\u011fi de \u00f6yle.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Fakat Arap ayaklanmalar\u0131 nedeniyle bunlar\u0131n hi\u00e7 biri olamad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Tam aksine Amerika, istedi\u011finden \u00e7ok daha fazla angaje olmak<br \/>\nzorunda kald\u0131 Ortado\u011fu\u2019ya. Belki 2003\u2019te Irak\u2019ta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcrden bir angajman<br \/>\nde\u011fil ama yine de Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgede hat\u0131r\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r bir askeri, diplomatik ve<br \/>\nsiyasi varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. Arap ayaklanmalar\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 dinamikler bunu<br \/>\nzorunlu k\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika\u2019n\u0131n K\u00f6rfez\u2019de hala 35.000 askeri var. Birka\u00e7 hafta<br \/>\nevvel K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleriyle yap\u0131lan Camp David zirvesinin ard\u0131ndan Obama y\u00f6netimi<br \/>\nK\u00f6rfez\u2019e silah sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika Irak\u2019ta I\u015e\u0130D\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturulan koalisyonu<br \/>\ny\u00f6netiyor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019de, Katar\u2019da, Suudi Arabistan\u2019da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Suriyeli<br \/>\nmuhalifleri e\u011fitiyor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Suudilerin Yemen operasyonuna destek veriyor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika\u2019n\u0131n kaya gaz\u0131 ile kendi enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kendisinin<br \/>\nkar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131 Washington\u2019\u0131 enerji alan\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z da k\u0131lmayacak.?? <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">B\u00f6lge petrol\u00fc global petrol piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olmaya<br \/>\ndevam edecek. Ve Amerika b\u00f6lge dinamiklerinin petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda yarataca\u011f\u0131<br \/>\ndalgalanmaya hep kulak kabartmak zorunda kalacak. ?<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>\u0130ran\u2019a gelince\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">B\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri Washington\u2019\u0131 \u0130ran konusunda naif olmakla<br \/>\nsu\u00e7luyorlar. Oysa Washington\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran politikas\u0131 olduk\u00e7a ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131<br \/>\nColin Kahl, forumda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada \u00e7ok net ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki \u00f6nceli\u011fi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah<br \/>\n\u00fcretmesini engellemek.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Lozan\u2019da \u0130ran ile var\u0131lan mutabakat\u0131n \u2018tek amac\u0131\u2019 da bu.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Washington\u2019\u0131n \u00fcmidi, n\u00fckleer m\u00fczakerelerin ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n<br \/>\nkald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 cephenin elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi. Bunun \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n<br \/>\nb\u00f6lge politikalar\u0131nda da bir yumu\u015famaya neden olabilece\u011fini \u00fcmit ediyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Fakat Washington bunun olmayabilece\u011finin de fark\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla gelen ekonomik rahatlaman\u0131n<br \/>\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgede daha agresif bir rol oynamas\u0131na da neden olabilece\u011fini de<br \/>\ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u2018E\u011fer b\u00f6yle olursa, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hareket alan\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlaman\u0131n<br \/>\nba\u015fka yollar\u0131n\u0131 buluruz\u2019 diyor Kahl.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yani \u00f6yle san\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi \u0130ran ve Washington aras\u0131nda<br \/>\nkurulmu\u015f \u2018stratejik bir ortakl\u0131k\u2019 yok.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Obama y\u00f6netimi m\u00fcttefiklerinin \u0130ran kayg\u0131s\u0131ndan haberdar. Bu<br \/>\nkayg\u0131lar\u0131 yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Yemen operasyonuna destek verdi,<br \/>\nM\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a silah sat\u0131\u015f\u0131na yeniden ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">B\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u2018demokrasi ihrac\u0131\u2019 konusundaki<br \/>\nendi\u015felerine gelince\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Obama y\u00f6netimi Arap ayaklanmalar\u0131yla ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7te<br \/>\ndemokratik unsurlara destek verece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015f olabilir. Fakat bu destek b\u00fcy\u00fck<br \/>\n\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u00f6ylem d\u00fczeyinde kald\u0131. Obama K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki otoriter rejimleri, askeri<br \/>\ndarbeyle y\u00f6netime gelmi\u015f Sisi\u2019yi desteklemeye, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki demokrasi ihlallerine<br \/>\nsessiz kalmaya devam etti. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yani Obama y\u00f6netiminin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin dillendirdi\u011fi gibi<br \/>\nbir \u2018demokrasi ihrac\u0131\u2019 politikas\u0131 yok.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Tam aksine Obama, Washington\u2019da, stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar u\u011fruna<br \/>\nbu \u00fclkelerin demokrasi ihlallerine g\u00f6z yummakla su\u00e7lan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">K\u0131sacas\u0131 Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefikleriyle aras\u0131ndaki<br \/>\nmakas gittik\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">G\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle Amerika\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan K\u00f6rfez<br \/>\n\u00fclkelerinin Amerika\u2019ya olan g\u00fcvenlerinin bu denli sars\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve \u0130ran\u2019a dair<br \/>\nkorkular\u0131n\u0131n bu kadar tavan yapm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 hayra alemet de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Bu panik hali, b\u00f6lgede daha fazla militarizmin, Suudilerin<br \/>\nYemen\u2019de giri\u015fti\u011fi t\u00fcrden askeri maceralar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>G\u00f6n\u00fcl Tol\/Radikal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik<br \/>\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>www.lekolin.com &#8211;<br \/>\nwww.navendalekolin.com &#8211; www.lekolin.org &#8211; www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- parveke begin --><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\"><\/div>\n<p><!-- parveke END -->\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>Obama y\u00f6netiminin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin dillendirdi\u011fi gibi bir &#8216;demokrasi ihrac\u0131&#8217; politikas\u0131 yok. Tam aksine Obama, Washington&#8217;da, stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar u\u011fruna bu \u00fclkelerin demokrasi ihlallerine g\u00f6z yummakla su\u00e7lan\u0131yor. K\u0131sacas\u0131 Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefikleriyle aras\u0131ndaki makas gittik\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[1550,32,1551,1549,31,36,33,30,492,35,34,80],"class_list":["post-9760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basindan-secmeler","tag-amerikaya","tag-arastirma","tag-bakmak","tag-dohadan","tag-kurdi","tag-kurdish","tag-kurdistan","tag-lekolin","tag-ortadogu","tag-turkish","tag-turkiye","tag-ve"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9760"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11093,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9760\/revisions\/11093"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}